Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, has consistently polled in the low-to-mid 20s in September 2026 surveys ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, placing it neck-and-neck or slightly ahead of Likud in most recent averages. This positioning reflects voter interest in Eisenkot’s security credentials and emphasis on a state commission of inquiry into the October 7 attacks, alongside dissatisfaction with the current coalition. Recent slate finalizations and limited mergers, including additions strengthening Yashar’s security-focused list, have reinforced its standing without major shifts. Traders price 24-25 seats as the modal outcome because that range aligns with the latest polling consensus, while nearby bins capture the typical margin of error and variability in turnout or late campaign dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว24-25 41%
22-23 32%
26-27 16%
20-21 12%
<20
5%
20-21
12%
22-23
23%
24-25
38%
26-27
16%
28-29
7%
30+
6%
24-25 41%
22-23 32%
26-27 16%
20-21 12%
<20
5%
20-21
12%
22-23
23%
24-25
38%
26-27
16%
28-29
7%
30+
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Yashar, the centrist party led by former IDF Chief of Staff Gadi Eisenkot, has consistently polled in the low-to-mid 20s in September 2026 surveys ahead of the October 27 Knesset election, placing it neck-and-neck or slightly ahead of Likud in most recent averages. This positioning reflects voter interest in Eisenkot’s security credentials and emphasis on a state commission of inquiry into the October 7 attacks, alongside dissatisfaction with the current coalition. Recent slate finalizations and limited mergers, including additions strengthening Yashar’s security-focused list, have reinforced its standing without major shifts. Traders price 24-25 seats as the modal outcome because that range aligns with the latest polling consensus, while nearby bins capture the typical margin of error and variability in turnout or late campaign dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว



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