Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$435,015 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
20%
$435,015 ปริมาณ
December 31
$148,423 ปริมาณ
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$435,015วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$435,015วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as a Federal Reserve governor, which runs until January 31, 2028, represents the primary structural factor shaping trader views on his potential departure from the Board. His four-year chairmanship concluded in May 2026 with Kevin Warsh's confirmation as successor, after which Powell stated he would remain on the Board for a period to be determined pending resolution of an internal investigation into headquarters construction costs. With the Fed's policy rate path and inflation trajectory still sensitive to leadership stability, markets price in probabilities around whether political or investigative developments accelerate his exit before the statutory end date. Upcoming FOMC meetings and any administration communications on Board appointments could introduce near-term volatility in implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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