Moonshot AI's recent launch of the open-source Kimi K2.6 large language model on April 20, 2026—boasting state-of-the-art coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro and support for 300-agent swarms over 12-hour runs—has heightened anticipation for Kimi K3, but no official release or preview has materialized as of mid-May. Rumors from credible reports suggest a Q3 2026 debut with 2.5–4 trillion parameters, 1 million-token context via Kimi Linear attention, and trillion-level compute backing from a $2 billion funding round valuing the firm at $20 billion. In the fierce Chinese AI race against DeepSeek V4 and Qwen, traders eye Moonshot's rapid iteration cadence for surprises, with key catalysts including API previews, tech blogs, or developer conferences that could shift market-implied odds on release timelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$40,058 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
11%
May 31
6%
$40,058 ปริมาณ
June 30
$3,664 ปริมาณ
11%
May 31
$2,992 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's recent launch of the open-source Kimi K2.6 large language model on April 20, 2026—boasting state-of-the-art coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro and support for 300-agent swarms over 12-hour runs—has heightened anticipation for Kimi K3, but no official release or preview has materialized as of mid-May. Rumors from credible reports suggest a Q3 2026 debut with 2.5–4 trillion parameters, 1 million-token context via Kimi Linear attention, and trillion-level compute backing from a $2 billion funding round valuing the firm at $20 billion. In the fierce Chinese AI race against DeepSeek V4 and Qwen, traders eye Moonshot's rapid iteration cadence for surprises, with key catalysts including API previews, tech blogs, or developer conferences that could shift market-implied odds on release timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,058วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI's recent launch of the open-source Kimi K2.6 large language model on April 20, 2026—boasting state-of-the-art coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro and support for 300-agent swarms over 12-hour runs—has heightened anticipation for Kimi K3, but no official release or preview has materialized as of mid-May. Rumors from credible reports suggest a Q3 2026 debut with 2.5–4 trillion parameters, 1 million-token context via Kimi Linear attention, and trillion-level compute backing from a $2 billion funding round valuing the firm at $20 billion. In the fierce Chinese AI race against DeepSeek V4 and Qwen, traders eye Moonshot's rapid iteration cadence for surprises, with key catalysts including API previews, tech blogs, or developer conferences that could shift market-implied odds on release timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K3 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K3 (e.g., Kimi K3.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K2.5, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K2.5. The release of any model within the Kimi K3 family will qualify as “Kimi K3”.
Products labeled as Kimi K2.6 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$40,058วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 2, 2026, 6:11 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI's recent launch of the open-source Kimi K2.6 large language model on April 20, 2026—boasting state-of-the-art coding benchmarks like 58.6% on SWE-Bench Pro and support for 300-agent swarms over 12-hour runs—has heightened anticipation for Kimi K3, but no official release or preview has materialized as of mid-May. Rumors from credible reports suggest a Q3 2026 debut with 2.5–4 trillion parameters, 1 million-token context via Kimi Linear attention, and trillion-level compute backing from a $2 billion funding round valuing the firm at $20 billion. In the fierce Chinese AI race against DeepSeek V4 and Qwen, traders eye Moonshot's rapid iteration cadence for surprises, with key catalysts including API previews, tech blogs, or developer conferences that could shift market-implied odds on release timelines.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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