Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with a clear edge in trader pricing ahead of the September 27, 2026 first-round vote, driven by his established local organization, narrow 2024 runoff loss to the recalled incumbent, and strong positioning after the May 2026 recall referendum that ousted Aleksander Miszalski. Recent June polling placed Gibała ahead, though short of a first-round majority, amid a crowded field that includes Monika Piątkowska, Daria Gosek-Popiołek, and multiple lower-polling independents and party nominees. The fragmented opposition and anti-incumbent momentum from the referendum have concentrated support around Gibała’s Kraków for Residents committee, while other candidates trail with limited name recognition or narrower bases. Upcoming candidate confirmations and any late polling shifts remain the main variables that could alter the current consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วŁukasz Gibała 55%
Monika Piątkowska 14%
Łukasz Wantuch 12.4%
Rafał Komarewicz 10%
Łukasz Gibała
55%
Monika Piątkowska
14%
Łukasz Wantuch
12%
Rafał Komarewicz
10%
Sławomir Pietrzyk
9%
Daria Gosek-Popiołek
9%
Aleksandra Owca
7%
Jan Hoffman
7%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
6%
Marian Banaś
6%
Rafał Sonik
6%
Marianna Schreiber
5%
Bartosz Bocheńczak
5%
Marta Ratuszyńska
4%
Michał Drewnicki
9%
Michał Klimek
2%
Paweł Śliz
1%
Łukasz Gibała 55%
Monika Piątkowska 14%
Łukasz Wantuch 12.4%
Rafał Komarewicz 10%
Łukasz Gibała
55%
Monika Piątkowska
14%
Łukasz Wantuch
12%
Rafał Komarewicz
10%
Sławomir Pietrzyk
9%
Daria Gosek-Popiołek
9%
Aleksandra Owca
7%
Jan Hoffman
7%
Grażyna Zofia Świat
6%
Marian Banaś
6%
Rafał Sonik
6%
Marianna Schreiber
5%
Bartosz Bocheńczak
5%
Marta Ratuszyńska
4%
Michał Drewnicki
9%
Michał Klimek
2%
Paweł Śliz
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Łukasz Gibała leads the Kraków mayoral race with a clear edge in trader pricing ahead of the September 27, 2026 first-round vote, driven by his established local organization, narrow 2024 runoff loss to the recalled incumbent, and strong positioning after the May 2026 recall referendum that ousted Aleksander Miszalski. Recent June polling placed Gibała ahead, though short of a first-round majority, amid a crowded field that includes Monika Piątkowska, Daria Gosek-Popiołek, and multiple lower-polling independents and party nominees. The fragmented opposition and anti-incumbent momentum from the referendum have concentrated support around Gibała’s Kraków for Residents committee, while other candidates trail with limited name recognition or narrower bases. Upcoming candidate confirmations and any late polling shifts remain the main variables that could alter the current consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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