The strong Republican lean of Kansas’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins, drives trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at roughly 92%. Incumbent Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with over 80% of the vote, while Democrat Katy Tyndell emerged from a low-profile primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Estes’s 65% victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and candidate visibility reinforce the structural advantage. Shifts would require a significant national environment change, a major scandal, or unexpected redistricting before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วKS-04 House Election Winner
KS-04 House Election Winner
$63,855 ปริมาณ
$63,855 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$63,855 ปริมาณ
$63,855 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$35,588 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$28,266 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Kansas’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins, drives trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at roughly 92%. Incumbent Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with over 80% of the vote, while Democrat Katy Tyndell emerged from a low-profile primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Estes’s 65% victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and candidate visibility reinforce the structural advantage. Shifts would require a significant national environment change, a major scandal, or unexpected redistricting before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,855วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Republican lean of Kansas’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins, drives trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at roughly 92%. Incumbent Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with over 80% of the vote, while Democrat Katy Tyndell emerged from a low-profile primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Estes’s 65% victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and candidate visibility reinforce the structural advantage. Shifts would require a significant national environment change, a major scandal, or unexpected redistricting before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,855วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Republican lean of Kansas’s 4th Congressional District, reflected in its R+12 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins, drives trader consensus toward the Republican nominee at roughly 92%. Incumbent Ron Estes secured renomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with over 80% of the vote, while Democrat Katy Tyndell emerged from a low-profile primary to face him in the November 3 general election. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with Estes’s 65% victory in 2024. Limited Democratic fundraising and candidate visibility reinforce the structural advantage. Shifts would require a significant national environment change, a major scandal, or unexpected redistricting before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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