**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C overnight low for Hong Kong on June 26, carrying a 40% market-implied probability, with 27°C (23%) and 26°C (20%) as the next most likely outcomes.** This distribution reflects the latest Hong Kong Observatory 9-day forecast, which projects a minimum of 28°C under the influence of an anticyclone aloft, with southwest winds, mainly fine conditions, and isolated showers. Typical mid-June climatological overnight lows in Hong Kong range from 26–28°C; the current setup aligns closely with this baseline while showing slightly elevated warmth consistent with the HKO’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures. High humidity (65–95% range) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent monsoon flow further support the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus and recent observational trends show minimal deviation expected before the 26th, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or convective activity could shift probability toward 27°C. Resolution depends on the official HKO minimum temperature reading for the day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 26?
26°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,302 ปริมาณ
$66,302 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$66,302 ปริมาณ
$66,302 ปริมาณ
Jun 26, 2026
23°C or below
$4,265 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$5,790 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$7,665 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$9,522 ปริมาณ
100%
27°C
$3,713 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$12,405 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$8,732 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$12,515 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$902 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$420 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C or higher
$373 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C overnight low for Hong Kong on June 26, carrying a 40% market-implied probability, with 27°C (23%) and 26°C (20%) as the next most likely outcomes.** This distribution reflects the latest Hong Kong Observatory 9-day forecast, which projects a minimum of 28°C under the influence of an anticyclone aloft, with southwest winds, mainly fine conditions, and isolated showers. Typical mid-June climatological overnight lows in Hong Kong range from 26–28°C; the current setup aligns closely with this baseline while showing slightly elevated warmth consistent with the HKO’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures.
High humidity (65–95% range) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent monsoon flow further support the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus and recent observational trends show minimal deviation expected before the 26th, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or convective activity could shift probability toward 27°C. Resolution depends on the official HKO minimum temperature reading for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,302วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C overnight low for Hong Kong on June 26, carrying a 40% market-implied probability, with 27°C (23%) and 26°C (20%) as the next most likely outcomes.** This distribution reflects the latest Hong Kong Observatory 9-day forecast, which projects a minimum of 28°C under the influence of an anticyclone aloft, with southwest winds, mainly fine conditions, and isolated showers. Typical mid-June climatological overnight lows in Hong Kong range from 26–28°C; the current setup aligns closely with this baseline while showing slightly elevated warmth consistent with the HKO’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures.
High humidity (65–95% range) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent monsoon flow further support the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus and recent observational trends show minimal deviation expected before the 26th, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or convective activity could shift probability toward 27°C. Resolution depends on the official HKO minimum temperature reading for the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,302วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 26, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on a 28°C overnight low for Hong Kong on June 26, carrying a 40% market-implied probability, with 27°C (23%) and 26°C (20%) as the next most likely outcomes.** This distribution reflects the latest Hong Kong Observatory 9-day forecast, which projects a minimum of 28°C under the influence of an anticyclone aloft, with southwest winds, mainly fine conditions, and isolated showers. Typical mid-June climatological overnight lows in Hong Kong range from 26–28°C; the current setup aligns closely with this baseline while showing slightly elevated warmth consistent with the HKO’s seasonal outlook for above-normal June–August temperatures. High humidity (65–95% range) and limited nocturnal cooling from persistent monsoon flow further support the 27–28°C cluster. Model consensus and recent observational trends show minimal deviation expected before the 26th, though minor forecast adjustments from updated runs or convective activity could shift probability toward 27°C. Resolution depends on the official HKO minimum temperature reading for the day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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