Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum near 27°C on June 27, consistent with typical early-summer subtropical conditions where high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep lows in the mid- to upper-20s. Cloud cover and possible scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough are the main variables that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher depending on timing and intensity. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, while historical June climatology shows 27°C as the most frequent minimum. Updated model runs and the Observatory’s 24-hour forecast release will provide the next clear signal for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 27?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 27?
26°C 47%
27°C 37%
25°C 20.0%
24°C 10.9%
ใหม่
$18,024 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,024 ปริมาณ
Jun 27, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
18%
25°C
27%
26°C
47%
27°C
37%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 37%
25°C 20.0%
24°C 10.9%
ใหม่
$18,024 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$18,024 ปริมาณ
Jun 27, 2026
22°C or below
$314 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$611 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C
$1,284 ปริมาณ
18%
25°C
$605 ปริมาณ
27%
26°C
$2,287 ปริมาณ
47%
27°C
$6,189 ปริมาณ
37%
28°C
$2,488 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,509 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$542 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$564 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$631 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum near 27°C on June 27, consistent with typical early-summer subtropical conditions where high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep lows in the mid- to upper-20s. Cloud cover and possible scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough are the main variables that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher depending on timing and intensity. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, while historical June climatology shows 27°C as the most frequent minimum. Updated model runs and the Observatory’s 24-hour forecast release will provide the next clear signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,024วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum near 27°C on June 27, consistent with typical early-summer subtropical conditions where high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep lows in the mid- to upper-20s. Cloud cover and possible scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough are the main variables that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher depending on timing and intensity. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, while historical June climatology shows 27°C as the most frequent minimum. Updated model runs and the Observatory’s 24-hour forecast release will provide the next clear signal for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,024วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 27, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a minimum near 27°C on June 27, consistent with typical early-summer subtropical conditions where high humidity and limited overnight radiative cooling keep lows in the mid- to upper-20s. Cloud cover and possible scattered showers associated with the East Asian monsoon trough are the main variables that could nudge the reading a degree lower or higher depending on timing and intensity. Ensemble spreads remain narrow two days out, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 26–28°C, while historical June climatology shows 27°C as the most frequent minimum. Updated model runs and the Observatory’s 24-hour forecast release will provide the next clear signal for traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย