Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum temperature around 12–15°C in London on September 8, driven by a westward shift in the jet stream that advects cooler maritime air behind a departing frontal system. Westerly winds of 10–15 knots, combined with increasing cloud cover overnight, limit radiative cooling while preventing strong nocturnal inversions. Ensemble spreads show the 10th–90th percentile range centered near 13–16°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the Thames basin. Traders have priced the 14–16°C outcomes highest because the latest GFS and ECMWF runs have stabilized in that band, with only modest downward revisions possible if clearer skies develop. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles over the next 36 hours will be the key catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on September 8?
Lowest temperature in London on September 8?
11°C or below 46%
15°C 42%
14°C 28%
16°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
46%
12°C
20%
13°C
22%
14°C
28%
15°C
42%
16°C
26%
17°C
25%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
11°C or below 46%
15°C 42%
14°C 28%
16°C 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
11°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
46%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
14°C
$198 ปริมาณ
28%
15°C
$109 ปริมาณ
42%
16°C
$454 ปริมาณ
26%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
21°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum temperature around 12–15°C in London on September 8, driven by a westward shift in the jet stream that advects cooler maritime air behind a departing frontal system. Westerly winds of 10–15 knots, combined with increasing cloud cover overnight, limit radiative cooling while preventing strong nocturnal inversions. Ensemble spreads show the 10th–90th percentile range centered near 13–16°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the Thames basin. Traders have priced the 14–16°C outcomes highest because the latest GFS and ECMWF runs have stabilized in that band, with only modest downward revisions possible if clearer skies develop. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles over the next 36 hours will be the key catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$761วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum temperature around 12–15°C in London on September 8, driven by a westward shift in the jet stream that advects cooler maritime air behind a departing frontal system. Westerly winds of 10–15 knots, combined with increasing cloud cover overnight, limit radiative cooling while preventing strong nocturnal inversions. Ensemble spreads show the 10th–90th percentile range centered near 13–16°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the Thames basin. Traders have priced the 14–16°C outcomes highest because the latest GFS and ECMWF runs have stabilized in that band, with only modest downward revisions possible if clearer skies develop. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles over the next 36 hours will be the key catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$761วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and ensemble model guidance point to a minimum temperature around 12–15°C in London on September 8, driven by a westward shift in the jet stream that advects cooler maritime air behind a departing frontal system. Westerly winds of 10–15 knots, combined with increasing cloud cover overnight, limit radiative cooling while preventing strong nocturnal inversions. Ensemble spreads show the 10th–90th percentile range centered near 13–16°C, consistent with early-September climatology for the Thames basin. Traders have priced the 14–16°C outcomes highest because the latest GFS and ECMWF runs have stabilized in that band, with only modest downward revisions possible if clearer skies develop. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles over the next 36 hours will be the key catalysts for any further market movement before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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