Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami indicates typical mid-summer conditions with overnight lows centered near the July climatological average of 78–80°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Primary drivers include persistent high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light southeasterly winds off the warm Atlantic, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can trap heat or enhance mixing. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to uncertainty in timing and coverage of convective activity on July 2–3, which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F depending on whether skies clear after midnight. Historical analogs confirm that deviations below 76°F or above 82°F are uncommon without unusual synoptic patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Miami on July 3?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 3?
78-79°F 90%
76-77°F 5.0%
74-75°F 1.9%
72-73°F <1%
$29,587 ปริมาณ
$29,587 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
90%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 90%
76-77°F 5.0%
74-75°F 1.9%
72-73°F <1%
$29,587 ปริมาณ
$29,587 ปริมาณ
Jul 3, 2026
69°F or below
$600 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$644 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$628 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$848 ปริมาณ
2%
76-77°F
$1,215 ปริมาณ
5%
78-79°F
$6,235 ปริมาณ
90%
80-81°F
$7,388 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$4,083 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$4,377 ปริมาณ
<1%
86-87°F
$1,706 ปริมาณ
<1%
88°F or higher
$1,860 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami indicates typical mid-summer conditions with overnight lows centered near the July climatological average of 78–80°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Primary drivers include persistent high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light southeasterly winds off the warm Atlantic, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can trap heat or enhance mixing. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to uncertainty in timing and coverage of convective activity on July 2–3, which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F depending on whether skies clear after midnight. Historical analogs confirm that deviations below 76°F or above 82°F are uncommon without unusual synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 1, 2026, 10:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,587วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 10:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami indicates typical mid-summer conditions with overnight lows centered near the July climatological average of 78–80°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Primary drivers include persistent high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light southeasterly winds off the warm Atlantic, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can trap heat or enhance mixing. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to uncertainty in timing and coverage of convective activity on July 2–3, which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F depending on whether skies clear after midnight. Historical analogs confirm that deviations below 76°F or above 82°F are uncommon without unusual synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$29,587วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 1, 2026, 10:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami indicates typical mid-summer conditions with overnight lows centered near the July climatological average of 78–80°F, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 78–81°F. Primary drivers include persistent high humidity limiting nocturnal radiative cooling, light southeasterly winds off the warm Atlantic, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers that can trap heat or enhance mixing. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread tied to uncertainty in timing and coverage of convective activity on July 2–3, which can shift minimum readings by 2–4°F depending on whether skies clear after midnight. Historical analogs confirm that deviations below 76°F or above 82°F are uncommon without unusual synoptic patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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