Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on June 17?
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 26%
60-61°F 20%
66-67°F 20%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 32%
62-63°F 26%
60-61°F 20%
66-67°F 20%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
17%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
32%
66-67°F
20%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
1%
72°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from NOAA and regional models points to overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds, positioning NYC's minimum temperature for June 17 near the mid-60s°F at LaGuardia and Central Park stations. A lingering trough and modest onshore flow have suppressed daytime heating while limiting extreme nocturnal drops, keeping the distribution of possible lows tightly clustered between roughly 62–67°F. Ensemble spreads and local variations in urban heat island effects create the tight market clustering around 64–65°F and adjacent bins, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers below 60°F or above 68°F given current stability indices and dewpoint trends. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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