Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on July 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 22?
14°C 35%
13°C 26%
15°C 21%
12°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
14%
13°C
26%
14°C
35%
15°C
21%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 35%
13°C 26%
15°C 21%
12°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
10°C or below
$123 ปริมาณ
1%
11°C
$106 ปริมาณ
5%
12°C
$152 ปริมาณ
14%
13°C
$523 ปริมาณ
26%
14°C
$2,839 ปริมาณ
35%
15°C
$211 ปริมาณ
21%
16°C
$1,054 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$313 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$92 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$92 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$250 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,753วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,753วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicate Paris minimum temperatures on July 22 will likely fall between 13–15°C under predominantly clear, high-pressure conditions favoring strong nighttime radiative cooling. Light northerly winds and low humidity limit mixing, while the urban heat island effect at the reference station moderates extremes compared with rural surroundings. Model spread arises mainly from small differences in predicted cloud cover and boundary-layer winds, producing the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 13°C (44.5%), 14°C (37.5%), and 15°C (35.5%). Updated guidance expected tomorrow will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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