Traders currently favor a 17°C or 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on July 22, with those outcomes together capturing nearly 70% of market-implied probability, reflecting tight consensus in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and any approaching mid-latitude cold fronts that typically moderate winter highs in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Ensemble runs from global models show minimal spread around 16–17°C, with small differences arising from the precise timing of onshore flow versus katabatic winds from the interior. Historical July maxima average near 17°C, providing a useful baseline, though day-to-day variability remains high. Updated model cycles and official South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Cape Town on July 22?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 22?
16°C 38%
17°C 34%
15°C 17%
18°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
17%
16°C
38%
17°C
34%
18°C
7%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 38%
17°C 34%
15°C 17%
18°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
11°C or below
$121 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$22 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$63 ปริมาณ
1%
14°C
$222 ปริมาณ
4%
15°C
$322 ปริมาณ
17%
16°C
$122 ปริมาณ
38%
17°C
$47 ปริมาณ
34%
18°C
$138 ปริมาณ
7%
19°C
$295 ปริมาณ
3%
20°C
$247 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C or higher
$187 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders currently favor a 17°C or 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on July 22, with those outcomes together capturing nearly 70% of market-implied probability, reflecting tight consensus in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and any approaching mid-latitude cold fronts that typically moderate winter highs in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Ensemble runs from global models show minimal spread around 16–17°C, with small differences arising from the precise timing of onshore flow versus katabatic winds from the interior. Historical July maxima average near 17°C, providing a useful baseline, though day-to-day variability remains high. Updated model cycles and official South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,786วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders currently favor a 17°C or 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on July 22, with those outcomes together capturing nearly 70% of market-implied probability, reflecting tight consensus in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and any approaching mid-latitude cold fronts that typically moderate winter highs in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Ensemble runs from global models show minimal spread around 16–17°C, with small differences arising from the precise timing of onshore flow versus katabatic winds from the interior. Historical July maxima average near 17°C, providing a useful baseline, though day-to-day variability remains high. Updated model cycles and official South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,786วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders currently favor a 17°C or 16°C daily maximum in Cape Town on July 22, with those outcomes together capturing nearly 70% of market-implied probability, reflecting tight consensus in short-range model guidance. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the South Atlantic high-pressure system and any approaching mid-latitude cold fronts that typically moderate winter highs in the region’s Mediterranean climate. Ensemble runs from global models show minimal spread around 16–17°C, with small differences arising from the precise timing of onshore flow versus katabatic winds from the interior. Historical July maxima average near 17°C, providing a useful baseline, though day-to-day variability remains high. Updated model cycles and official South African Weather Service briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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