**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 22?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 22?
40°C 32%
41°C 25%
39°C 19%
42°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
8%
39°C
19%
40°C
32%
41°C
25%
42°C
8%
43°C
2%
44°C or higher
<1%
40°C 32%
41°C 25%
39°C 19%
42°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 22, 2026
34°C or below
$128 ปริมาณ
<1%
35°C
$390 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$116 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$232 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$483 ปริมาณ
8%
39°C
$556 ปริมาณ
19%
40°C
$37 ปริมาณ
32%
41°C
$1,291 ปริมาณ
25%
42°C
$528 ปริมาณ
8%
43°C
$406 ปริมาณ
2%
44°C or higher
$511 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,678วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,678วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast guidance from models and agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a peak temperature in the upper 30s Celsius for Chengdu on July 22, 2026, amid the influence of the Western Pacific Subtropical High.** This ridge typically sustains hot, subsiding air over the Sichuan Basin during peak summer, amplified by the urban heat island effect and high humidity that limits nighttime cooling. Recent model runs show modest variability, with some projecting 38–39°C under partly cloudy conditions and others allowing brief excursions toward 40–41°C if subsidence strengthens or winds remain light. Incoming moisture or a weak frontal boundary could cap readings near 37–38°C. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 39–41°C because these thresholds align with ensemble spreads and historical July extremes, while probabilities drop sharply outside this window as resolution nears. Updated model outputs expected within 24–48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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