Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on July 22?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 22?
40°C 34%
39°C 27%
41°C 20%
38°C 9%
ใหม่
$16,496 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,496 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
9%
39°C
27%
40°C
34%
41°C
20%
42°C
6%
43°C
1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
40°C 34%
39°C 27%
41°C 20%
38°C 9%
ใหม่
$16,496 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$16,496 ปริมาณ
Jul 22, 2026
35°C or below
$405 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$2,023 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$419 ปริมาณ
2%
38°C
$717 ปริมาณ
9%
39°C
$406 ปริมาณ
27%
40°C
$8,245 ปริมาณ
34%
41°C
$963 ปริมาณ
20%
42°C
$2,244 ปริมาณ
6%
43°C
$571 ปริมาณ
1%
44°C
$215 ปริมาณ
<1%
45°C or higher
$289 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,496วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,496วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 20, 2026, 12:11 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models show substantial uncertainty in Chongqing's peak temperature on July 22, with ensemble guidance clustering between 38–41°C amid variable monsoon influences and urban heat island effects. Recent upper-air analyses indicate modest subsidence and light winds that could limit mixing, while soil moisture from prior rainfall may moderate daytime highs. Historical July climatology for the region features frequent exceedances of 38°C, yet day-to-day model spread remains wide due to sensitivity in boundary-layer parameterization. Traders appear to weigh the latest CMA and global ensemble outputs most heavily, with resolution hinging on verified observations from official stations. Additional model runs and satellite-derived surface data expected within 48 hours could narrow the distribution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย