The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on June 22?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 22?
23°C 33%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
21°C or below 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 22, 2026
21°C or below
19%
22°C
22%
23°C
33%
24°C
24%
25°C
14%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
23°C 33%
24°C 24%
22°C 22%
21°C or below 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 22, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
33%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
26°C
$176 ปริมาณ
5%
27°C
$41 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$41 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$255 ปริมาณ
5%
30°C
$140 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$40 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$693วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$693วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The ongoing European heatwave, with Météo-France and other models showing Paris overnight lows near 23–24°C on June 22 amid daytime highs approaching 39°C, drives the market's concentration around those outcomes. This reflects strong short-term forecast consensus from agencies like NOAA and ECMWF ensembles, though minor shifts in cloud cover, wind patterns, or urban heat-island effects could alter the minimum by 1–2°C. Compared to the long-term June average low of roughly 13–14°C, current conditions represent a significant positive anomaly tied to the solstice timing and persistent high pressure. Traders weigh the narrow resolution window against typical model spread for nocturnal temperatures, sustaining the dispersed probabilities across 21–25°C bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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