Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate high uncertainty in afternoon convective activity and cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta, driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 32–34°C for Guangzhou’s June 20 maximum. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June—elevated humidity near 80%, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms—can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by several degrees depending on timing and intensity of rainfall. Historical climatology shows June daily highs averaging near 32°C with occasional excursions above 35°C under clearer skies, while recent observational trends suggest no strong anomalous heat signal. The market’s dispersed odds reflect this sensitivity to the next high-resolution model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on June 20?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on June 20?
33°C 23%
34°C 21%
35°C 17%
32°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 20, 2026
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
9%
32°C
14%
33°C
23%
34°C
21%
35°C
17%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
33°C 23%
34°C 21%
35°C 17%
32°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 20, 2026
29°C or below
$150 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
32°C
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
33°C
$2 ปริมาณ
23%
34°C
$1 ปริมาณ
21%
35°C
$2 ปริมาณ
17%
36°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
37°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
38°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C or higher
$12 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate high uncertainty in afternoon convective activity and cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta, driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 32–34°C for Guangzhou’s June 20 maximum. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June—elevated humidity near 80%, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms—can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by several degrees depending on timing and intensity of rainfall. Historical climatology shows June daily highs averaging near 32°C with occasional excursions above 35°C under clearer skies, while recent observational trends suggest no strong anomalous heat signal. The market’s dispersed odds reflect this sensitivity to the next high-resolution model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$167วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate high uncertainty in afternoon convective activity and cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta, driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 32–34°C for Guangzhou’s June 20 maximum. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June—elevated humidity near 80%, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms—can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by several degrees depending on timing and intensity of rainfall. Historical climatology shows June daily highs averaging near 32°C with occasional excursions above 35°C under clearer skies, while recent observational trends suggest no strong anomalous heat signal. The market’s dispersed odds reflect this sensitivity to the next high-resolution model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$167วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 12:12 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models indicate high uncertainty in afternoon convective activity and cloud cover over the Pearl River Delta, driving the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 32–34°C for Guangzhou’s June 20 maximum. Subtropical monsoon conditions typical for mid-June—elevated humidity near 80%, southeasterly flow, and scattered thunderstorms—can suppress or enhance peak temperatures by several degrees depending on timing and intensity of rainfall. Historical climatology shows June daily highs averaging near 32°C with occasional excursions above 35°C under clearer skies, while recent observational trends suggest no strong anomalous heat signal. The market’s dispersed odds reflect this sensitivity to the next high-resolution model runs and surface observations expected over the next 48 hours.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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