Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature of 25°C for Incheon on August 21 amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain potential, supporting the market's leading 24°C (47%) and 25°C (31.5%) outcomes. Persistent late-summer humidity reduces nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal averages of 23–24°C, while variable cloud cover and steering patterns introduce minor uncertainty in exact readings. Traders appear to weigh official model consensus heavily, with lower-probability tails reflecting risks of modest deviations from frontal influences or measurement site specifics at Incheon. Updated KMA briefings and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 21?
24°C 47%
25°C 32%
23°C 8%
22°C 3%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
47%
25°C
32%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 47%
25°C 32%
23°C 8%
22°C 3%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
47%
25°C
32%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 19, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a minimum temperature of 25°C for Incheon on August 21 amid mostly cloudy skies and light rain potential, supporting the market's leading 24°C (47%) and 25°C (31.5%) outcomes. Persistent late-summer humidity reduces nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight lows near or slightly below seasonal averages of 23–24°C, while variable cloud cover and steering patterns introduce minor uncertainty in exact readings. Traders appear to weigh official model consensus heavily, with lower-probability tails reflecting risks of modest deviations from frontal influences or measurement site specifics at Incheon. Updated KMA briefings and observational data ahead of resolution will likely refine these implied probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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