Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C overnight minimum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and light winds that suppress radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability for 25°C and 30% for 24°C, consistent with seasonal August lows near 22–24°C when cloud cover and moisture moderate temperature drops. Ensemble model runs show limited variability ahead of the event, with only modest chances for clearer conditions that could push readings to 26°C (18.5%). Traders are weighting official guidance and short-term observational trends heavily, as the final forecast update before sunset will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
24°C 56%
25°C 50%
26°C 19%
27°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
33%
25°C
50%
26°C
19%
27°C
6%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 50%
26°C 19%
27°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$50 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$15 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C
$3 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$20 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$50 ปริมาณ
33%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
19%
27°C
$103 ปริมาณ
6%
28°C
$20 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$67 ปริมาณ
1%
30°C or higher
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C overnight minimum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and light winds that suppress radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability for 25°C and 30% for 24°C, consistent with seasonal August lows near 22–24°C when cloud cover and moisture moderate temperature drops. Ensemble model runs show limited variability ahead of the event, with only modest chances for clearer conditions that could push readings to 26°C (18.5%). Traders are weighting official guidance and short-term observational trends heavily, as the final forecast update before sunset will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$619วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C overnight minimum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and light winds that suppress radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability for 25°C and 30% for 24°C, consistent with seasonal August lows near 22–24°C when cloud cover and moisture moderate temperature drops. Ensemble model runs show limited variability ahead of the event, with only modest chances for clearer conditions that could push readings to 26°C (18.5%). Traders are weighting official guidance and short-term observational trends heavily, as the final forecast update before sunset will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$619วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 25°C overnight minimum for the Seoul-Incheon region on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity, and light winds that suppress radiative cooling. This consensus drives the market’s leading 49.5% implied probability for 25°C and 30% for 24°C, consistent with seasonal August lows near 22–24°C when cloud cover and moisture moderate temperature drops. Ensemble model runs show limited variability ahead of the event, with only modest chances for clearer conditions that could push readings to 26°C (18.5%). Traders are weighting official guidance and short-term observational trends heavily, as the final forecast update before sunset will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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