Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Seoul near 22–23°C for July 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these levels. Midsummer monsoon conditions, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and elevated sea-surface temperatures roughly 1°C above average, promote high humidity and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift morning lows by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology places typical minimums near 21–23°C, with traders weighting current ensemble guidance and the absence of extreme heat-dome signals expected later in the season. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul on July 4?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 4?
22°C 40%
23°C 33%
21°C 20%
26°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 4, 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
20%
22°C
40%
23°C
33%
24°C
5%
25°C
1%
26°C
8%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 40%
23°C 33%
21°C 20%
26°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jul 4, 2026
18°C or below
$69 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$21 ปริมาณ
1%
20°C
$5 ปริมาณ
3%
21°C
$40 ปริมาณ
20%
22°C
$3,418 ปริมาณ
40%
23°C
$35 ปริมาณ
33%
24°C
$5 ปริมาณ
5%
25°C
$127 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$132 ปริมาณ
8%
27°C
$27 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$32 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Seoul near 22–23°C for July 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these levels. Midsummer monsoon conditions, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and elevated sea-surface temperatures roughly 1°C above average, promote high humidity and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift morning lows by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology places typical minimums near 21–23°C, with traders weighting current ensemble guidance and the absence of extreme heat-dome signals expected later in the season. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,910วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Seoul near 22–23°C for July 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these levels. Midsummer monsoon conditions, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and elevated sea-surface temperatures roughly 1°C above average, promote high humidity and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift morning lows by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology places typical minimums near 21–23°C, with traders weighting current ensemble guidance and the absence of extreme heat-dome signals expected later in the season. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,910วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration and AccuWeather indicate overnight lows in Seoul near 22–23°C for July 4, aligning with the market's tight clustering around these levels. Midsummer monsoon conditions, driven by a strengthened North Pacific High and elevated sea-surface temperatures roughly 1°C above average, promote high humidity and frequent showers that limit nighttime radiative cooling. Model consensus shows modest day-to-day variability tied to cloud cover and precipitation timing, which can shift morning lows by 1–2°C. Historical July climatology places typical minimums near 21–23°C, with traders weighting current ensemble guidance and the absence of extreme heat-dome signals expected later in the season. Updated model runs ahead of the date remain the key variable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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