Traders price an 88.5% implied probability against Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his Southern District of New York federal case, reflecting the prolonged pre-trial phase following his January 2026 U.S. military capture in Caracas and subsequent arraignment where he and wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty to narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges. A March 26 federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss while blocking Venezuelan government funds for legal fees, hampering preparation amid historical patterns where the narcoterrorism statute yields mostly pleas rather than full-trial convictions on every count. No trial date is set, with no major developments in the past 30 days sustaining trader skepticism on unanimous guilty verdicts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$102,578 ปริมาณ
$102,578 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
$102,578 ปริมาณ
$102,578 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders price an 88.5% implied probability against Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his Southern District of New York federal case, reflecting the prolonged pre-trial phase following his January 2026 U.S. military capture in Caracas and subsequent arraignment where he and wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty to narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges. A March 26 federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss while blocking Venezuelan government funds for legal fees, hampering preparation amid historical patterns where the narcoterrorism statute yields mostly pleas rather than full-trial convictions on every count. No trial date is set, with no major developments in the past 30 days sustaining trader skepticism on unanimous guilty verdicts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,578วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders price an 88.5% implied probability against Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his Southern District of New York federal case, reflecting the prolonged pre-trial phase following his January 2026 U.S. military capture in Caracas and subsequent arraignment where he and wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty to narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges. A March 26 federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss while blocking Venezuelan government funds for legal fees, hampering preparation amid historical patterns where the narcoterrorism statute yields mostly pleas rather than full-trial convictions on every count. No trial date is set, with no major developments in the past 30 days sustaining trader skepticism on unanimous guilty verdicts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$102,578วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders price an 88.5% implied probability against Nicolás Maduro being found guilty on all counts in his Southern District of New York federal case, reflecting the prolonged pre-trial phase following his January 2026 U.S. military capture in Caracas and subsequent arraignment where he and wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty to narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons charges. A March 26 federal judge rejected defense motions to dismiss while blocking Venezuelan government funds for legal fees, hampering preparation amid historical patterns where the narcoterrorism statute yields mostly pleas rather than full-trial convictions on every count. No trial date is set, with no major developments in the past 30 days sustaining trader skepticism on unanimous guilty verdicts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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