The short timeframe before 2027, combined with Senate procedural controls and institutional barriers, underpins the 96.4% trader consensus against any STF justice facing successful impeachment. Senate President Davi Alcolumbre has held 109 pending requests in abeyance, and the chamber has never removed a justice despite dozens of prior filings targeting figures such as Alexandre de Moraes. A December 2025 STF injunction raised the threshold for advancing proceedings, while defense periods and full Senate votes extend well beyond year-end. Recent closure of the long-running fake news inquiry and ongoing judicial reform discussions further reduce immediate catalysts. Realistic shifts would require an abrupt agenda change by the current Senate leadership or an unprecedented acceleration of a responsibility trial within weeks.