Trader consensus assigns a 91% implied probability to no Brazil STF justice being removed by impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural barriers and historical precedent with zero successful removals in the modern era. Justice Alexandre de Moraes' May 9 suspension of a congressional sentencing law—potentially easing ex-President Bolsonaro's prison term—prompted a fresh opposition impeachment petition, yet Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco continues shelving such requests, as reinforced by Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators to the Attorney General (PGR) and requiring a two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 senators). Absent a seismic shift in Senate composition or PGR action, these structural hurdles sustain the low likelihood despite ongoing partisan backlash.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$70,751 ปริมาณ
$70,751 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$70,751 ปริมาณ
$70,751 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 91% implied probability to no Brazil STF justice being removed by impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural barriers and historical precedent with zero successful removals in the modern era. Justice Alexandre de Moraes' May 9 suspension of a congressional sentencing law—potentially easing ex-President Bolsonaro's prison term—prompted a fresh opposition impeachment petition, yet Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco continues shelving such requests, as reinforced by Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators to the Attorney General (PGR) and requiring a two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 senators). Absent a seismic shift in Senate composition or PGR action, these structural hurdles sustain the low likelihood despite ongoing partisan backlash.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,751วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus assigns a 91% implied probability to no Brazil STF justice being removed by impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural barriers and historical precedent with zero successful removals in the modern era. Justice Alexandre de Moraes' May 9 suspension of a congressional sentencing law—potentially easing ex-President Bolsonaro's prison term—prompted a fresh opposition impeachment petition, yet Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco continues shelving such requests, as reinforced by Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators to the Attorney General (PGR) and requiring a two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 senators). Absent a seismic shift in Senate composition or PGR action, these structural hurdles sustain the low likelihood despite ongoing partisan backlash.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,751วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus assigns a 91% implied probability to no Brazil STF justice being removed by impeachment before 2027, reflecting steep procedural barriers and historical precedent with zero successful removals in the modern era. Justice Alexandre de Moraes' May 9 suspension of a congressional sentencing law—potentially easing ex-President Bolsonaro's prison term—prompted a fresh opposition impeachment petition, yet Senate President Rodrigo Pacheco continues shelving such requests, as reinforced by Justice Gilmar Mendes' December 2025 ruling limiting initiators to the Attorney General (PGR) and requiring a two-thirds supermajority (54 of 81 senators). Absent a seismic shift in Senate composition or PGR action, these structural hurdles sustain the low likelihood despite ongoing partisan backlash.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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