Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Fred Wellman narrowly won his party's contest. The district's Republican lean (R+4 to R+6 PVI) and Wagner's consistent reelection record, including a 2024 victory margin exceeding 12 points, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 76.5%. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the incumbent's advantages and limited evidence of a competitive shift despite Democratic recruitment efforts. A single May 2026 poll showed a close head-to-head matchup before name identification effects.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,636 ปริมาณ
76%
Democratic Party
$3,833 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Fred Wellman narrowly won his party's contest. The district's Republican lean (R+4 to R+6 PVI) and Wagner's consistent reelection record, including a 2024 victory margin exceeding 12 points, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 76.5%. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the incumbent's advantages and limited evidence of a competitive shift despite Democratic recruitment efforts. A single May 2026 poll showed a close head-to-head matchup before name identification effects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,469วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Fred Wellman narrowly won his party's contest. The district's Republican lean (R+4 to R+6 PVI) and Wagner's consistent reelection record, including a 2024 victory margin exceeding 12 points, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 76.5%. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the incumbent's advantages and limited evidence of a competitive shift despite Democratic recruitment efforts. A single May 2026 poll showed a close head-to-head matchup before name identification effects.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,469วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with nearly 74% of the vote in Missouri's 2nd Congressional District, while Democrat Fred Wellman narrowly won his party's contest. The district's Republican lean (R+4 to R+6 PVI) and Wagner's consistent reelection record, including a 2024 victory margin exceeding 12 points, underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 76.5%. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as solid or likely Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the incumbent's advantages and limited evidence of a competitive shift despite Democratic recruitment efforts. A single May 2026 poll showed a close head-to-head matchup before name identification effects.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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