Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, while Democrat Fred Wellman narrowly won his primary to become the general election challenger. Missouri's 2nd district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin and ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Wagner's long tenure since 2013, combined with the district's suburban and rural composition in the St. Louis area and surrounding counties, supports trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Early 2026 polling showed a competitive head-to-head matchup before information effects, but the structural advantages and recent primary results have kept implied probabilities stable near current levels ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
76%
Democratic Party
24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,636 ปริมาณ
76%
Democratic Party
$3,833 ปริมาณ
24%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, while Democrat Fred Wellman narrowly won his primary to become the general election challenger. Missouri's 2nd district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin and ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Wagner's long tenure since 2013, combined with the district's suburban and rural composition in the St. Louis area and surrounding counties, supports trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Early 2026 polling showed a competitive head-to-head matchup before information effects, but the structural advantages and recent primary results have kept implied probabilities stable near current levels ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,469วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, while Democrat Fred Wellman narrowly won his primary to become the general election challenger. Missouri's 2nd district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin and ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Wagner's long tenure since 2013, combined with the district's suburban and rural composition in the St. Louis area and surrounding counties, supports trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Early 2026 polling showed a competitive head-to-head matchup before information effects, but the structural advantages and recent primary results have kept implied probabilities stable near current levels ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,469วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 74% of the vote, while Democrat Fred Wellman narrowly won his primary to become the general election challenger. Missouri's 2nd district maintains a Republican tilt, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin and ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classifying it as Solid or Safe Republican. Wagner's long tenure since 2013, combined with the district's suburban and rural composition in the St. Louis area and surrounding counties, supports trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Early 2026 polling showed a competitive head-to-head matchup before information effects, but the structural advantages and recent primary results have kept implied probabilities stable near current levels ahead of the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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