Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, backed by consistent polling leads of 15 to 20 points over Republican frontrunner Bruce Blakeman. Her re-election bid benefits from New York’s long-standing Democratic advantage in statewide contests, where Republicans have not won since 2002. Recent Siena polling from late April shows Hochul at 49 percent to Blakeman’s 33 percent, even as her favorability ratings dipped modestly. The Republican primary field narrowed after U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik withdrew and endorsed Blakeman, who secured Donald Trump’s backing. These factors have solidified trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November general election, though the race remains subject to shifts from campaign fundraising disputes and broader voter turnout dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew York Governor Election Winner
$69,334 ปริมาณ
$69,334 ปริมาณ

Democrat
88%

Republican
13%
$69,334 ปริมาณ
$69,334 ปริมาณ

Democrat
88%

Republican
13%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul maintains a commanding position in the 2026 New York gubernatorial race, backed by consistent polling leads of 15 to 20 points over Republican frontrunner Bruce Blakeman. Her re-election bid benefits from New York’s long-standing Democratic advantage in statewide contests, where Republicans have not won since 2002. Recent Siena polling from late April shows Hochul at 49 percent to Blakeman’s 33 percent, even as her favorability ratings dipped modestly. The Republican primary field narrowed after U.S. Representative Elise Stefanik withdrew and endorsed Blakeman, who secured Donald Trump’s backing. These factors have solidified trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November general election, though the race remains subject to shifts from campaign fundraising disputes and broader voter turnout dynamics.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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