Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market as traders price in his prior service representing the district, superior name recognition, and first-place finish in the invalidated May 19 primary. Redistricting litigation has shifted the contest to an August 11 special primary featuring a narrower field that includes Carl alongside challengers such as Austin Sidwell and John Mills. This timeline and Carl’s established fundraising and organizational edge underpin the wide gap in implied probabilities, while lesser-known candidates trail amid limited recent polling or endorsements that could alter positioning before the special primary ballot is finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วJerry Carl 82.5%
Rhett Marques 11.7%
Austin Sidwell 2.3%
John Mills 1.4%
$46,557 ปริมาณ
$46,557 ปริมาณ
May 19, 2026
Jerry Carl
82%
Rhett Marques
12%
Austin Sidwell
2%
John Mills
1%
James Richardson
1%
Joshua McKee
<1%
James Dees
<1%
Jerry Carl 82.5%
Rhett Marques 11.7%
Austin Sidwell 2.3%
John Mills 1.4%
$46,557 ปริมาณ
$46,557 ปริมาณ
May 19, 2026
Jerry Carl
$3,358 ปริมาณ
82%
Rhett Marques
$795 ปริมาณ
12%
Austin Sidwell
$13,817 ปริมาณ
2%
John Mills
$16,796 ปริมาณ
1%
James Richardson
$6,904 ปริมาณ
1%
Joshua McKee
$242 ปริมาณ
<1%
James Dees
$4,646 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market as traders price in his prior service representing the district, superior name recognition, and first-place finish in the invalidated May 19 primary. Redistricting litigation has shifted the contest to an August 11 special primary featuring a narrower field that includes Carl alongside challengers such as Austin Sidwell and John Mills. This timeline and Carl’s established fundraising and organizational edge underpin the wide gap in implied probabilities, while lesser-known candidates trail amid limited recent polling or endorsements that could alter positioning before the special primary ballot is finalized.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,557วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market as traders price in his prior service representing the district, superior name recognition, and first-place finish in the invalidated May 19 primary. Redistricting litigation has shifted the contest to an August 11 special primary featuring a narrower field that includes Carl alongside challengers such as Austin Sidwell and John Mills. This timeline and Carl’s established fundraising and organizational edge underpin the wide gap in implied probabilities, while lesser-known candidates trail amid limited recent polling or endorsements that could alter positioning before the special primary ballot is finalized.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,557วันสิ้นสุด
May 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Jerry Carl leads the AL-01 Republican primary market as traders price in his prior service representing the district, superior name recognition, and first-place finish in the invalidated May 19 primary. Redistricting litigation has shifted the contest to an August 11 special primary featuring a narrower field that includes Carl alongside challengers such as Austin Sidwell and John Mills. This timeline and Carl’s established fundraising and organizational edge underpin the wide gap in implied probabilities, while lesser-known candidates trail amid limited recent polling or endorsements that could alter positioning before the special primary ballot is finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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