Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+27 partisan voter index and incumbent Barry Moore vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3. Recent fundraising shows state Rep. Rhett Marques leading ex-Rep. Jerry Carl in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—tantamount to victory given historical margins exceeding 78%—while Democrats field weak challengers. A Supreme Court redistricting ruling last week prompted GOP legislation for potential special primaries in Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7, but current lines preserve the district's deep-red profile. Realistic challenges include a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, adverse court redraw making it competitive, or an improbable national Democratic wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$35,661 ปริมาณ
$35,661 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
4%
$35,661 ปริมาณ
$35,661 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,001 ปริมาณ
93%
Democratic Party
$18,660 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+27 partisan voter index and incumbent Barry Moore vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3. Recent fundraising shows state Rep. Rhett Marques leading ex-Rep. Jerry Carl in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—tantamount to victory given historical margins exceeding 78%—while Democrats field weak challengers. A Supreme Court redistricting ruling last week prompted GOP legislation for potential special primaries in Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7, but current lines preserve the district's deep-red profile. Realistic challenges include a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, adverse court redraw making it competitive, or an improbable national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,661วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+27 partisan voter index and incumbent Barry Moore vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3. Recent fundraising shows state Rep. Rhett Marques leading ex-Rep. Jerry Carl in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—tantamount to victory given historical margins exceeding 78%—while Democrats field weak challengers. A Supreme Court redistricting ruling last week prompted GOP legislation for potential special primaries in Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7, but current lines preserve the district's deep-red profile. Realistic challenges include a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, adverse court redraw making it competitive, or an improbable national Democratic wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,661วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st Congressional District remains a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report, with an R+27 partisan voter index and incumbent Barry Moore vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, driving trader consensus to 92.5% odds for a Republican general election winner on November 3. Recent fundraising shows state Rep. Rhett Marques leading ex-Rep. Jerry Carl in the crowded May 19 GOP primary—tantamount to victory given historical margins exceeding 78%—while Democrats field weak challengers. A Supreme Court redistricting ruling last week prompted GOP legislation for potential special primaries in Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7, but current lines preserve the district's deep-red profile. Realistic challenges include a post-primary GOP nominee scandal, adverse court redraw making it competitive, or an improbable national Democratic wave.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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