Redistricting in Alabama following the Supreme Court's Callais decision shifted AL-02 toward a Republican-leaning profile with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index, placing the seat in play for a GOP flip despite the presence of Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. Republican nominee Rhett Marques secured his party's nomination in the recent primary, positioning him to capitalize on the revised district lines that encompass more conservative-leaning areas in the Wiregrass region and beyond Montgomery. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the impact of these map changes on electoral math and voter composition ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and candidate developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$39,563 ปริมาณ
$39,563 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
26%
$39,563 ปริมาณ
$39,563 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$20,300 ปริมาณ
75%
Democratic Party
$19,264 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Alabama following the Supreme Court's Callais decision shifted AL-02 toward a Republican-leaning profile with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index, placing the seat in play for a GOP flip despite the presence of Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. Republican nominee Rhett Marques secured his party's nomination in the recent primary, positioning him to capitalize on the revised district lines that encompass more conservative-leaning areas in the Wiregrass region and beyond Montgomery. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the impact of these map changes on electoral math and voter composition ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and candidate developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,563วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Alabama following the Supreme Court's Callais decision shifted AL-02 toward a Republican-leaning profile with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index, placing the seat in play for a GOP flip despite the presence of Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. Republican nominee Rhett Marques secured his party's nomination in the recent primary, positioning him to capitalize on the revised district lines that encompass more conservative-leaning areas in the Wiregrass region and beyond Montgomery. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the impact of these map changes on electoral math and voter composition ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and candidate developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$39,563วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in Alabama following the Supreme Court's Callais decision shifted AL-02 toward a Republican-leaning profile with an R+7 Cook Partisan Voter Index, placing the seat in play for a GOP flip despite the presence of Democratic incumbent Shomari Figures. Republican nominee Rhett Marques secured his party's nomination in the recent primary, positioning him to capitalize on the revised district lines that encompass more conservative-leaning areas in the Wiregrass region and beyond Montgomery. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race as Likely Republican, reflecting the impact of these map changes on electoral math and voter composition ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural and candidate developments.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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