Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements and then pushed into July—continue to drive overwhelming trader consensus toward no release by August 31. As of mid-August 2026, the model remains in partner testing without a confirmed public date or API availability, while Google has instead shipped lighter variants including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash. Internal reports of shortfalls against performance benchmarks and a shift toward Gemini 4 training further reduce near-term expectations. The absence of fresh announcements or certification signals leaves only slim implied odds for any specific late-August date, consistent with historical slippage patterns for frontier Pro models.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNo release by August 31 84.7%
August 31 4.1%
August 27 3.6%
August 26 3.6%
$265,209 ปริมาณ
$265,209 ปริมาณ
Aug 10, 2026
August 15
1%
August 16
<1%
August 17
1%
August 18
1%
August 19
1%
August 20
1%
August 21
1%
August 22
<1%
August 23
1%
August 24
2%
August 25
2%
August 26
4%
August 27
4%
August 28
1%
August 29
<1%
August 30
1%
August 31
4%
No release by August 31
85%
No release by August 31 84.7%
August 31 4.1%
August 27 3.6%
August 26 3.6%
$265,209 ปริมาณ
$265,209 ปริมาณ
Aug 10, 2026
August 15
$2,979 ปริมาณ
1%
August 16
$2,581 ปริมาณ
<1%
August 17
$3,736 ปริมาณ
1%
August 18
$3,960 ปริมาณ
1%
August 19
$3,126 ปริมาณ
1%
August 20
$2,766 ปริมาณ
1%
August 21
$2,239 ปริมาณ
1%
August 22
$2,665 ปริมาณ
<1%
August 23
$1,934 ปริมาณ
1%
August 24
$4,443 ปริมาณ
2%
August 25
$5,369 ปริมาณ
2%
August 26
$4,350 ปริมาณ
4%
August 27
$8,547 ปริมาณ
4%
August 28
$3,981 ปริมาณ
1%
August 29
$4,785 ปริมาณ
<1%
August 30
$2,298 ปริมาณ
1%
August 31
$7,432 ปริมาณ
4%
No release by August 31
$49,417 ปริมาณ
85%
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements and then pushed into July—continue to drive overwhelming trader consensus toward no release by August 31. As of mid-August 2026, the model remains in partner testing without a confirmed public date or API availability, while Google has instead shipped lighter variants including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash. Internal reports of shortfalls against performance benchmarks and a shift toward Gemini 4 training further reduce near-term expectations. The absence of fresh announcements or certification signals leaves only slim implied odds for any specific late-August date, consistent with historical slippage patterns for frontier Pro models.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$265,209วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements and then pushed into July—continue to drive overwhelming trader consensus toward no release by August 31. As of mid-August 2026, the model remains in partner testing without a confirmed public date or API availability, while Google has instead shipped lighter variants including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash. Internal reports of shortfalls against performance benchmarks and a shift toward Gemini 4 training further reduce near-term expectations. The absence of fresh announcements or certification signals leaves only slim implied odds for any specific late-August date, consistent with historical slippage patterns for frontier Pro models.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$265,209วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 3:09 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Google's repeated delays on the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro—originally targeted for June after I/O announcements and then pushed into July—continue to drive overwhelming trader consensus toward no release by August 31. As of mid-August 2026, the model remains in partner testing without a confirmed public date or API availability, while Google has instead shipped lighter variants including Gemini 3.6 Flash and 3.7 Flash. Internal reports of shortfalls against performance benchmarks and a shift toward Gemini 4 training further reduce near-term expectations. The absence of fresh announcements or certification signals leaves only slim implied odds for any specific late-August date, consistent with historical slippage patterns for frontier Pro models.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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