Recent UK political developments, including widespread calls from over 70 Labour MPs for Keir Starmer's resignation, multiple ministerial aide departures, and poor local election results, have elevated trader consensus around his early exit before 2027. In Colombia, Gustavo Petro's approval rating has rebounded to near 47 percent amid policy gains on wages and military pay ahead of the May 2026 presidential vote, sustaining interest in his departure timeline despite his term ending that year. These factors keep the two leading outcomes closely matched, with traders weighing Starmer's internal party pressures against Petro's electoral transition and potential successor dynamics. Upcoming events such as further UK parliamentary maneuvers or Colombian voting outcomes could shift positioning in either direction before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM 47%
Petro - Colombia President 37%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 9.8%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President 2.0%
$363,977 ปริมาณ
$363,977 ปริมาณ
Starmer - UK PM
47%
Petro - Colombia President
37%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
10%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
Lecornu - France PM
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
1%
None before 2027
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Trump - USA President
<1%
Putin - Russia President
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
Starmer - UK PM 47%
Petro - Colombia President 37%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President 9.8%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President 2.0%
$363,977 ปริมาณ
$363,977 ปริมาณ
Starmer - UK PM
47%
Petro - Colombia President
37%
Díaz-Canel - Cuba President
10%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
2%
Sheinbaum - Mexico President
1%
Takaichi - Japan PM
1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM
1%
Lecornu - France PM
1%
Erdoğan - Türkiye President
1%
None before 2027
1%
Kim - Supreme Leader of North Korea
<1%
Trump - USA President
<1%
Putin - Russia President
<1%
Abbas - President of Palestine
<1%
Macron - France President
<1%
Xi - General Secretary of the CCP
<1%
Lula da Silva - Brazil President
<1%
Albanese - Australia PM
<1%
Newsom - California Governor
<1%
Milei - Argentina President
<1%
Merz - German Chancellor
<1%
Rodríguez - Venezuela Acting President
<1%
al-Sharaa - Syria President
<1%
Sánchez - Spanish PM
<1%
An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election, will not alone qualify.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.
Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.
If this criterion has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent UK political developments, including widespread calls from over 70 Labour MPs for Keir Starmer's resignation, multiple ministerial aide departures, and poor local election results, have elevated trader consensus around his early exit before 2027. In Colombia, Gustavo Petro's approval rating has rebounded to near 47 percent amid policy gains on wages and military pay ahead of the May 2026 presidential vote, sustaining interest in his departure timeline despite his term ending that year. These factors keep the two leading outcomes closely matched, with traders weighing Starmer's internal party pressures against Petro's electoral transition and potential successor dynamics. Upcoming events such as further UK parliamentary maneuvers or Colombian voting outcomes could shift positioning in either direction before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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