Brad Lander's commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York's 10th Congressional District has anchored trader consensus around a margin exceeding 30 points. Official projections showed Lander securing roughly 66 percent to incumbent Dan Goldman's 34 percent, reflecting strong progressive support, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and voter divisions over foreign policy and party leadership. Pre-primary polling already indicated double-digit leads that widened into Election Night results consistent with that scale. With certification pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to the 30 percent-plus outcome, though scenarios such as final ballot tabulation adjustments or procedural reviews remain the only realistic paths to a narrower reported margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLander 30%+ 98.4%
Lander <10% 2.9%
Lander 20–30% 2.8%
Lander 10–20% <1%
$75,569 ปริมาณ
$75,569 ปริมาณ
Jun 23, 2026
Lander 30%+
98%
Lander 20–30%
3%
Lander 10–20%
<1%
Lander <10%
3%
Other
<1%
Lander 30%+ 98.4%
Lander <10% 2.9%
Lander 20–30% 2.8%
Lander 10–20% <1%
$75,569 ปริมาณ
$75,569 ปริมาณ
Jun 23, 2026
Lander 30%+
$47,042 ปริมาณ
98%
Lander 20–30%
$9,382 ปริมาณ
3%
Lander 10–20%
$12,598 ปริมาณ
<1%
Lander <10%
$3,360 ปริมาณ
3%
Other
$2,075 ปริมาณ
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander's commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York's 10th Congressional District has anchored trader consensus around a margin exceeding 30 points. Official projections showed Lander securing roughly 66 percent to incumbent Dan Goldman's 34 percent, reflecting strong progressive support, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and voter divisions over foreign policy and party leadership. Pre-primary polling already indicated double-digit leads that widened into Election Night results consistent with that scale. With certification pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to the 30 percent-plus outcome, though scenarios such as final ballot tabulation adjustments or procedural reviews remain the only realistic paths to a narrower reported margin.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,569วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Brad Lander's commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York's 10th Congressional District has anchored trader consensus around a margin exceeding 30 points. Official projections showed Lander securing roughly 66 percent to incumbent Dan Goldman's 34 percent, reflecting strong progressive support, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and voter divisions over foreign policy and party leadership. Pre-primary polling already indicated double-digit leads that widened into Election Night results consistent with that scale. With certification pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to the 30 percent-plus outcome, though scenarios such as final ballot tabulation adjustments or procedural reviews remain the only realistic paths to a narrower reported margin.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-10 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,569วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 10:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Brad Lander's commanding victory in the June 23, 2026, Democratic primary for New York's 10th Congressional District has anchored trader consensus around a margin exceeding 30 points. Official projections showed Lander securing roughly 66 percent to incumbent Dan Goldman's 34 percent, reflecting strong progressive support, endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani, and voter divisions over foreign policy and party leadership. Pre-primary polling already indicated double-digit leads that widened into Election Night results consistent with that scale. With certification pending, traders assign overwhelming probability to the 30 percent-plus outcome, though scenarios such as final ballot tabulation adjustments or procedural reviews remain the only realistic paths to a narrower reported margin.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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