Micah Lasher and Alex Bores remain the frontrunners in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, with recent Siena and Emerson polling showing them separated by just 1–3 points amid 20–32% undecided voters. Trader pricing on narrow margins or an “other” outcome reflects the district’s East Side–West Side split, outside spending tied to AI policy differences, and debate exchanges that have not produced a decisive shift. Schlossberg’s support stays low single digits, consistent with polling and Kalshi odds placing him well behind. The volume of undecided older voters and last-weekend canvassing keep the final margin fluid within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
NY-12 Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
Lasher <5% 28%
Lasher 5–10% 25%
Bores <5% 24%
Lasher 10–15% 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 24, 2026
Lasher 15%+
6%
Lasher 10–15%
13%
Lasher 5–10%
25%
Lasher <5%
28%
Bores 5%+
6%
Bores <5%
24%
Schlossberg Wins
8%
Lasher <5% 28%
Lasher 5–10% 25%
Bores <5% 24%
Lasher 10–15% 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 24, 2026
Lasher 15%+
$46 ปริมาณ
6%
Lasher 10–15%
$57 ปริมาณ
13%
Lasher 5–10%
$86 ปริมาณ
25%
Lasher <5%
$46 ปริมาณ
28%
Bores 5%+
$46 ปริมาณ
6%
Bores <5%
$53 ปริมาณ
24%
Schlossberg Wins
$71 ปริมาณ
8%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Micah Lasher and Alex Bores remain the frontrunners in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, with recent Siena and Emerson polling showing them separated by just 1–3 points amid 20–32% undecided voters. Trader pricing on narrow margins or an “other” outcome reflects the district’s East Side–West Side split, outside spending tied to AI policy differences, and debate exchanges that have not produced a decisive shift. Schlossberg’s support stays low single digits, consistent with polling and Kalshi odds placing him well behind. The volume of undecided older voters and last-weekend canvassing keep the final margin fluid within the resolution window.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$405วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Micah Lasher and Alex Bores remain the frontrunners in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, with recent Siena and Emerson polling showing them separated by just 1–3 points amid 20–32% undecided voters. Trader pricing on narrow margins or an “other” outcome reflects the district’s East Side–West Side split, outside spending tied to AI policy differences, and debate exchanges that have not produced a decisive shift. Schlossberg’s support stays low single digits, consistent with polling and Kalshi odds placing him well behind. The volume of undecided older voters and last-weekend canvassing keep the final margin fluid within the resolution window.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$405วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Micah Lasher and Alex Bores remain the frontrunners in New York’s 12th Congressional District Democratic primary, scheduled for June 23, with recent Siena and Emerson polling showing them separated by just 1–3 points amid 20–32% undecided voters. Trader pricing on narrow margins or an “other” outcome reflects the district’s East Side–West Side split, outside spending tied to AI policy differences, and debate exchanges that have not produced a decisive shift. Schlossberg’s support stays low single digits, consistent with polling and Kalshi odds placing him well behind. The volume of undecided older voters and last-weekend canvassing keep the final margin fluid within the resolution window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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