Darializa Avila Chevalier’s narrow victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District produced a margin well under five points, aligning with the market’s overwhelming consensus on an outcome below that threshold. The race featured strong progressive backing, including from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Justice Democrats, against Espaillat’s establishment support and long tenure representing the district. Final tallies showed Chevalier at roughly 48.6 percent to Espaillat’s share near 46 percent, reflecting splits among younger, college-educated, and Black voters that offset Espaillat’s edges with lower-income and Hispanic blocs. Official certification and any residual ballot processing remain the primary variables that could still shift the precise spread, though late returns have not materially altered the under-five-point result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAvila Chevalier <5% 98.4%
Avila Chevalier 5–10% 1.6%
Avila Chevalier 10%+ 1.4%
Other <1%
$89,667 ปริมาณ
$89,667 ปริมาณ
Jun 23, 2026
Avila Chevalier 10%+
1%
Avila Chevalier 5–10%
2%
Avila Chevalier <5%
98%
Other
<1%
Avila Chevalier <5% 98.4%
Avila Chevalier 5–10% 1.6%
Avila Chevalier 10%+ 1.4%
Other <1%
$89,667 ปริมาณ
$89,667 ปริมาณ
Jun 23, 2026
Avila Chevalier 10%+
$5,976 ปริมาณ
1%
Avila Chevalier 5–10%
$7,521 ปริมาณ
2%
Avila Chevalier <5%
$21,705 ปริมาณ
98%
Other
$2,194 ปริมาณ
<1%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darializa Avila Chevalier’s narrow victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District produced a margin well under five points, aligning with the market’s overwhelming consensus on an outcome below that threshold. The race featured strong progressive backing, including from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Justice Democrats, against Espaillat’s establishment support and long tenure representing the district. Final tallies showed Chevalier at roughly 48.6 percent to Espaillat’s share near 46 percent, reflecting splits among younger, college-educated, and Black voters that offset Espaillat’s edges with lower-income and Hispanic blocs. Official certification and any residual ballot processing remain the primary variables that could still shift the precise spread, though late returns have not materially altered the under-five-point result.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,667วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Darializa Avila Chevalier’s narrow victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District produced a margin well under five points, aligning with the market’s overwhelming consensus on an outcome below that threshold. The race featured strong progressive backing, including from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Justice Democrats, against Espaillat’s establishment support and long tenure representing the district. Final tallies showed Chevalier at roughly 48.6 percent to Espaillat’s share near 46 percent, reflecting splits among younger, college-educated, and Black voters that offset Espaillat’s edges with lower-income and Hispanic blocs. Official certification and any residual ballot processing remain the primary variables that could still shift the precise spread, though late returns have not materially altered the under-five-point result.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-13 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$89,667วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 18, 2026, 10:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Darializa Avila Chevalier’s narrow victory over incumbent Adriano Espaillat in the June 23, 2026 Democratic primary for New York’s 13th Congressional District produced a margin well under five points, aligning with the market’s overwhelming consensus on an outcome below that threshold. The race featured strong progressive backing, including from New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Justice Democrats, against Espaillat’s establishment support and long tenure representing the district. Final tallies showed Chevalier at roughly 48.6 percent to Espaillat’s share near 46 percent, reflecting splits among younger, college-educated, and Black voters that offset Espaillat’s edges with lower-income and Hispanic blocs. Official certification and any residual ballot processing remain the primary variables that could still shift the precise spread, though late returns have not materially altered the under-five-point result.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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