Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show a fragmented race, with the PQ leading provincewide at 28–30% while the CAQ has surged to within a statistical tie in the latest Synopsis survey. The PLQ has slipped to around 20–23%, retaining strength on Montreal island but weaker francophone support elsewhere. The PCQ holds steady near 14–16%, performing better in the Quebec City region. These trends, combined with regional divides and early-campaign volatility, leave traders assigning the highest implied probability for third place to the PLQ, followed by the CAQ and PCQ. Shifts in francophone turnout or further consolidation among non-sovereigntist voters could alter the order before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPLQ 41%
CAQ 30%
PCQ 20%
PQ 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
41%
CAQ
30%
PCQ
20%
PQ
9%
QS
4%
PVQ
1%
PLQ 41%
CAQ 30%
PCQ 20%
PQ 9%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 4, 2026
PLQ
$865 ปริมาณ
41%
CAQ
$631 ปริมาณ
30%
PCQ
$239 ปริมาณ
20%
PQ
$850 ปริมาณ
9%
QS
$666 ปริมาณ
4%
PVQ
$369 ปริมาณ
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show a fragmented race, with the PQ leading provincewide at 28–30% while the CAQ has surged to within a statistical tie in the latest Synopsis survey. The PLQ has slipped to around 20–23%, retaining strength on Montreal island but weaker francophone support elsewhere. The PCQ holds steady near 14–16%, performing better in the Quebec City region. These trends, combined with regional divides and early-campaign volatility, leave traders assigning the highest implied probability for third place to the PLQ, followed by the CAQ and PCQ. Shifts in francophone turnout or further consolidation among non-sovereigntist voters could alter the order before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,619วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show a fragmented race, with the PQ leading provincewide at 28–30% while the CAQ has surged to within a statistical tie in the latest Synopsis survey. The PLQ has slipped to around 20–23%, retaining strength on Montreal island but weaker francophone support elsewhere. The PCQ holds steady near 14–16%, performing better in the Quebec City region. These trends, combined with regional divides and early-campaign volatility, leave traders assigning the highest implied probability for third place to the PLQ, followed by the CAQ and PCQ. Shifts in francophone turnout or further consolidation among non-sovereigntist voters could alter the order before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,619วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Quebec’s October 5 election show a fragmented race, with the PQ leading provincewide at 28–30% while the CAQ has surged to within a statistical tie in the latest Synopsis survey. The PLQ has slipped to around 20–23%, retaining strength on Montreal island but weaker francophone support elsewhere. The PCQ holds steady near 14–16%, performing better in the Quebec City region. These trends, combined with regional divides and early-campaign volatility, leave traders assigning the highest implied probability for third place to the PLQ, followed by the CAQ and PCQ. Shifts in francophone turnout or further consolidation among non-sovereigntist voters could alter the order before election day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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