Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding steady near 28-29% support ahead of the October 5 vote, buoyed by francophone voter concentration while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and Conservatives split the remaining vote. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Éric Grenier place the PQ in a narrow plurality range, with averages around 46-54 seats due to numerous tight three-way races that limit vote efficiency and raise the risk of falling short of a majority threshold of 64. The leading market outcome below 50 seats reflects this volatility, as modest shifts in regional turnout or late campaign momentum among opposition parties could easily alter the final tally in competitive ridings. Upcoming leaders’ debates and regional polling variations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could influence trader assessments of the PQ’s seat range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<50 41%
55-59 15%
50-54 14%
60-64 8%
$16,322 ปริมาณ
$16,322 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
<50
43%
50-54
14%
55-59
15%
60-64
8%
65-69
6%
70-74
5%
75-79
5%
80+
3%
<50 41%
55-59 15%
50-54 14%
60-64 8%
$16,322 ปริมาณ
$16,322 ปริมาณ
Oct 5, 2026
<50
$4,833 ปริมาณ
43%
50-54
$1,385 ปริมาณ
14%
55-59
$836 ปริมาณ
15%
60-64
$983 ปริมาณ
8%
65-69
$3,262 ปริมาณ
6%
70-74
$2,636 ปริมาณ
5%
75-79
$1,290 ปริมาณ
5%
80+
$1,097 ปริมาณ
3%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding steady near 28-29% support ahead of the October 5 vote, buoyed by francophone voter concentration while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and Conservatives split the remaining vote. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Éric Grenier place the PQ in a narrow plurality range, with averages around 46-54 seats due to numerous tight three-way races that limit vote efficiency and raise the risk of falling short of a majority threshold of 64. The leading market outcome below 50 seats reflects this volatility, as modest shifts in regional turnout or late campaign momentum among opposition parties could easily alter the final tally in competitive ridings. Upcoming leaders’ debates and regional polling variations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could influence trader assessments of the PQ’s seat range.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,322วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding steady near 28-29% support ahead of the October 5 vote, buoyed by francophone voter concentration while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and Conservatives split the remaining vote. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Éric Grenier place the PQ in a narrow plurality range, with averages around 46-54 seats due to numerous tight three-way races that limit vote efficiency and raise the risk of falling short of a majority threshold of 64. The leading market outcome below 50 seats reflects this volatility, as modest shifts in regional turnout or late campaign momentum among opposition parties could easily alter the final tally in competitive ridings. Upcoming leaders’ debates and regional polling variations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could influence trader assessments of the PQ’s seat range.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti Québécois (PQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,322วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates show the Parti Québécois holding steady near 28-29% support ahead of the October 5 vote, buoyed by francophone voter concentration while the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, and Conservatives split the remaining vote. Seat projections from models such as 338Canada and Éric Grenier place the PQ in a narrow plurality range, with averages around 46-54 seats due to numerous tight three-way races that limit vote efficiency and raise the risk of falling short of a majority threshold of 64. The leading market outcome below 50 seats reflects this volatility, as modest shifts in regional turnout or late campaign momentum among opposition parties could easily alter the final tally in competitive ridings. Upcoming leaders’ debates and regional polling variations remain the primary near-term catalysts that could influence trader assessments of the PQ’s seat range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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