State Rep. Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win the SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, propelled by his 34.1% victory in an April 16 GOP forum straw poll organized by Dorchester and Berkeley county parties, narrowly ahead of Alex Pelbath's 29.5%. The open seat—vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—features a crowded field of 11 candidates, fragmenting support among local officeholders like Charleston County Council member Jenny Honeycutt (4%) and Dorchester Council member Jay Byars (3.7%), while physician Sam McCown lags at 4% despite leading Q1 fundraising at $1.5 million. Smith's legislative record and 2022 near-upset of Mace boost his frontrunner status ahead of a potential June 23 runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSC-01 Republican Primary Winner
SC-01 Republican Primary Winner
Mark Smith 68%
Alex Pelbath 20%
Jay Byars 3.7%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 3.5%
$14,171 ปริมาณ
$14,171 ปริมาณ
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
68%
Alex Pelbath
20%
Jay Byars
4%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
3%
Sam McCown
3%
Jack Ellison
2%
Logan Cunningham
1%
Justin Myers
1%
Dan Brown
<1%
Mark Smith 68%
Alex Pelbath 20%
Jay Byars 3.7%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt 3.5%
$14,171 ปริมาณ
$14,171 ปริมาณ
Jun 9, 2026
Mark Smith
$5,479 ปริมาณ
68%
Alex Pelbath
$2,445 ปริมาณ
20%
Jay Byars
$681 ปริมาณ
4%
Jenny Costa Honeycutt
$638 ปริมาณ
3%
Sam McCown
$2,007 ปริมาณ
3%
Jack Ellison
$945 ปริมาณ
2%
Logan Cunningham
$733 ปริมาณ
1%
Justin Myers
$603 ปริมาณ
1%
Dan Brown
$641 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win the SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, propelled by his 34.1% victory in an April 16 GOP forum straw poll organized by Dorchester and Berkeley county parties, narrowly ahead of Alex Pelbath's 29.5%. The open seat—vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—features a crowded field of 11 candidates, fragmenting support among local officeholders like Charleston County Council member Jenny Honeycutt (4%) and Dorchester Council member Jay Byars (3.7%), while physician Sam McCown lags at 4% despite leading Q1 fundraising at $1.5 million. Smith's legislative record and 2022 near-upset of Mace boost his frontrunner status ahead of a potential June 23 runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,171วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win the SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, propelled by his 34.1% victory in an April 16 GOP forum straw poll organized by Dorchester and Berkeley county parties, narrowly ahead of Alex Pelbath's 29.5%. The open seat—vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—features a crowded field of 11 candidates, fragmenting support among local officeholders like Charleston County Council member Jenny Honeycutt (4%) and Dorchester Council member Jay Byars (3.7%), while physician Sam McCown lags at 4% despite leading Q1 fundraising at $1.5 million. Smith's legislative record and 2022 near-upset of Mace boost his frontrunner status ahead of a potential June 23 runoff.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on June 9, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,171วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Mark Smith commands trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability to win the SC-01 Republican primary on June 9, propelled by his 34.1% victory in an April 16 GOP forum straw poll organized by Dorchester and Berkeley county parties, narrowly ahead of Alex Pelbath's 29.5%. The open seat—vacated by Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid—features a crowded field of 11 candidates, fragmenting support among local officeholders like Charleston County Council member Jenny Honeycutt (4%) and Dorchester Council member Jay Byars (3.7%), while physician Sam McCown lags at 4% despite leading Q1 fundraising at $1.5 million. Smith's legislative record and 2022 near-upset of Mace boost his frontrunner status ahead of a potential June 23 runoff.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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