Trader consensus strongly favors former state Rep. Charles Booker at 84% implied probability to win Kentucky's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by April Emerson College polling showing him ahead of Amy McGrath by 18 points among Democrats and a RealClearPolling average lead of over 10 points, bolstered by his name recognition from nearly upsetting McGrath in the 2020 primary. Recent candidate forums, including the May 13 KET debate with Booker, McGrath, and Dale Romans, highlighted Booker's progressive focus on affordability and grassroots organizing in this low-turnout contest, while McGrath emphasized her moderate veteran background; no new polls have emerged, sustaining Booker's momentum amid steady field positioning by lower-tier candidates like Stevenson and Willett. Late voter shifts or turnout surprises could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCharles Booker 84%
Amy McGrath 11%
Pamela Stevenson 1.1%
Joel Willett 1.0%
$38,439 ปริมาณ
$38,439 ปริมาณ
Charles Booker
84%
Amy McGrath
11%
Pamela Stevenson
1%
Joel Willett
1%
Dale Romans
1%
Jared Randall
1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
Charles Booker 84%
Amy McGrath 11%
Pamela Stevenson 1.1%
Joel Willett 1.0%
$38,439 ปริมาณ
$38,439 ปริมาณ
Charles Booker
84%
Amy McGrath
11%
Pamela Stevenson
1%
Joel Willett
1%
Dale Romans
1%
Jared Randall
1%
Logan Forsythe
<1%
Vincent Thompson
<1%
If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 1, 2025, 4:02 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Kentucky Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors former state Rep. Charles Booker at 84% implied probability to win Kentucky's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on May 19, driven by April Emerson College polling showing him ahead of Amy McGrath by 18 points among Democrats and a RealClearPolling average lead of over 10 points, bolstered by his name recognition from nearly upsetting McGrath in the 2020 primary. Recent candidate forums, including the May 13 KET debate with Booker, McGrath, and Dale Romans, highlighted Booker's progressive focus on affordability and grassroots organizing in this low-turnout contest, while McGrath emphasized her moderate veteran background; no new polls have emerged, sustaining Booker's momentum amid steady field positioning by lower-tier candidates like Stevenson and Willett. Late voter shifts or turnout surprises could still influence the outcome.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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