The market shows tight clustering around 50% implied probability for numerous labs alongside OpenAI at 36%, signaling broad trader uncertainty over which contender will trail the leader in AI agent capabilities by late October. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated progress in autonomous agents built on large language models, including tool use, multi-step reasoning, and real-world task execution benchmarks. Recent model updates and internal scaling efforts at established players like Anthropic, Google, and emerging labs continue to shift relative positioning, while regulatory scrutiny and compute access remain key swing factors. Traders appear to weigh historical release cadence against the risk of timeline slips or capability plateaus in this fast-evolving space.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOpenAI 36%
Moonshot 26%
Anthropic 25%
Google 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
36%
Moonshot
26%
Anthropic
25%
25%
SpaceXAI
23%
Meituan
23%
Z.ai
22%
DeepSeek
22%
Xiaomi
22%
MiniMax
22%
Nvidia
22%
Amazon
22%
Alibaba
20%
Microsoft
20%
Meta
14%
Mistral
11%
ByteDance
23%
Baidu
5%
OpenAI 36%
Moonshot 26%
Anthropic 25%
Google 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$44 ปริมาณ
36%
Moonshot
$39 ปริมาณ
26%
Anthropic
$39 ปริมาณ
25%
$39 ปริมาณ
25%
SpaceXAI
$39 ปริมาณ
23%
Meituan
$76 ปริมาณ
23%
Z.ai
$76 ปริมาณ
22%
DeepSeek
$107 ปริมาณ
22%
Xiaomi
$44 ปริมาณ
22%
MiniMax
$125 ปริมาณ
22%
Nvidia
$86 ปริมาณ
22%
Amazon
$87 ปริมาณ
22%
Alibaba
$39 ปริมาณ
20%
Microsoft
$39 ปริมาณ
20%
Meta
$39 ปริมาณ
14%
Mistral
$76 ปริมาณ
11%
ByteDance
$58 ปริมาณ
23%
Baidu
$39 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market shows tight clustering around 50% implied probability for numerous labs alongside OpenAI at 36%, signaling broad trader uncertainty over which contender will trail the leader in AI agent capabilities by late October. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated progress in autonomous agents built on large language models, including tool use, multi-step reasoning, and real-world task execution benchmarks. Recent model updates and internal scaling efforts at established players like Anthropic, Google, and emerging labs continue to shift relative positioning, while regulatory scrutiny and compute access remain key swing factors. Traders appear to weigh historical release cadence against the risk of timeline slips or capability plateaus in this fast-evolving space.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,094วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market shows tight clustering around 50% implied probability for numerous labs alongside OpenAI at 36%, signaling broad trader uncertainty over which contender will trail the leader in AI agent capabilities by late October. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated progress in autonomous agents built on large language models, including tool use, multi-step reasoning, and real-world task execution benchmarks. Recent model updates and internal scaling efforts at established players like Anthropic, Google, and emerging labs continue to shift relative positioning, while regulatory scrutiny and compute access remain key swing factors. Traders appear to weigh historical release cadence against the risk of timeline slips or capability plateaus in this fast-evolving space.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,094วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 4:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market shows tight clustering around 50% implied probability for numerous labs alongside OpenAI at 36%, signaling broad trader uncertainty over which contender will trail the leader in AI agent capabilities by late October. Competitive dynamics hinge on demonstrated progress in autonomous agents built on large language models, including tool use, multi-step reasoning, and real-world task execution benchmarks. Recent model updates and internal scaling efforts at established players like Anthropic, Google, and emerging labs continue to shift relative positioning, while regulatory scrutiny and compute access remain key swing factors. Traders appear to weigh historical release cadence against the risk of timeline slips or capability plateaus in this fast-evolving space.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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