The closely matched probabilities around 50% for numerous smaller labs alongside Google's 35.5% lead reflect intense uncertainty over which AI developer will rank second by late November 2026. Intense competition among frontier labs, driven by rapid large language model releases, benchmark gains, and open-source strategies, keeps sentiment fragmented. Google benefits from Gemini scaling and infrastructure advantages, while Meta's Llama ecosystem and Anthropic's Claude safety focus create credible challengers; however, recent model updates from multiple players and shifting developer adoption have prevented any clear consolidation. Upcoming earnings calls and potential new capability demonstrations could quickly shift these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGoogle 35%
Meta 22%
Anthropic 13%
Z.ai 10.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
35%
Meta
22%
Anthropic
13%
Z.ai
11%
Moonshot
9%
SpaceXAI
8%
Alibaba
8%
Thinky
7%
Microsoft
7%
OpenAI
8%
Xiaomi
5%
ByteDance
4%
DeepSeek
4%
Amazon
4%
Mistral
4%
StepFun
4%
Nvidia
4%
Meituan
4%
MiniMax
4%
Baidu
3%
Tencent
3%
Google 35%
Meta 22%
Anthropic 13%
Z.ai 10.5%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
$143 ปริมาณ
35%
Meta
$174 ปริมาณ
22%
Anthropic
$233 ปริมาณ
13%
Z.ai
$70 ปริมาณ
11%
Moonshot
$70 ปริมาณ
9%
SpaceXAI
$70 ปริมาณ
8%
Alibaba
$70 ปริมาณ
8%
Thinky
$70 ปริมาณ
7%
Microsoft
$59 ปริมาณ
7%
OpenAI
$80 ปริมาณ
8%
Xiaomi
$70 ปริมาณ
5%
ByteDance
$80 ปริมาณ
4%
DeepSeek
$59 ปริมาณ
4%
Amazon
$69 ปริมาณ
4%
Mistral
$59 ปริมาณ
4%
StepFun
$59 ปริมาณ
4%
Nvidia
$70 ปริมาณ
4%
Meituan
$70 ปริมาณ
4%
MiniMax
$70 ปริมาณ
4%
Baidu
$70 ปริมาณ
3%
Tencent
$70 ปริมาณ
3%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched probabilities around 50% for numerous smaller labs alongside Google's 35.5% lead reflect intense uncertainty over which AI developer will rank second by late November 2026. Intense competition among frontier labs, driven by rapid large language model releases, benchmark gains, and open-source strategies, keeps sentiment fragmented. Google benefits from Gemini scaling and infrastructure advantages, while Meta's Llama ecosystem and Anthropic's Claude safety focus create credible challengers; however, recent model updates from multiple players and shifting developer adoption have prevented any clear consolidation. Upcoming earnings calls and potential new capability demonstrations could quickly shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,789วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched probabilities around 50% for numerous smaller labs alongside Google's 35.5% lead reflect intense uncertainty over which AI developer will rank second by late November 2026. Intense competition among frontier labs, driven by rapid large language model releases, benchmark gains, and open-source strategies, keeps sentiment fragmented. Google benefits from Gemini scaling and infrastructure advantages, while Meta's Llama ecosystem and Anthropic's Claude safety focus create credible challengers; however, recent model updates from multiple players and shifting developer adoption have prevented any clear consolidation. Upcoming earnings calls and potential new capability demonstrations could quickly shift these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,789วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:09 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around 50% for numerous smaller labs alongside Google's 35.5% lead reflect intense uncertainty over which AI developer will rank second by late November 2026. Intense competition among frontier labs, driven by rapid large language model releases, benchmark gains, and open-source strategies, keeps sentiment fragmented. Google benefits from Gemini scaling and infrastructure advantages, while Meta's Llama ecosystem and Anthropic's Claude safety focus create credible challengers; however, recent model updates from multiple players and shifting developer adoption have prevented any clear consolidation. Upcoming earnings calls and potential new capability demonstrations could quickly shift these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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