**Strong recent holds and sustained audience interest underpin the 92.7% market-implied probability for a $6 million-plus eighth weekend.** After a record $360 million domestic opening in late July and multiple record-breaking milestones—including surpassing *Star Wars: The Force Awakens* as the highest-grossing film ever in North America—the Tom Holland-led Sony/Marvel title has demonstrated unusually resilient legs for a superhero blockbuster. Its seventh weekend gross of $8.4 million and a modest 25% drop projected for the current frame reflect steady word-of-mouth and limited new competition, keeping it ahead of typical late-run decay patterns. While an unexpected surge from a surprise release or holiday boost could theoretically push results higher or trigger a sharper drop, current tracking and historical precedent for comparable tentpoles make sub-$6 million outcomes appear unlikely to traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office
6m+ 92.3%
5.5-6m 5.9%
5-5.5m 5.1%
4-4.5m 2.5%
ใหม่
$34,756 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$34,756 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
<4m
1%
4-4.5m
3%
4.5-5m
3%
5-5.5m
5%
5.5-6m
6%
6m+
92%
6m+ 92.3%
5.5-6m 5.9%
5-5.5m 5.1%
4-4.5m 2.5%
ใหม่
$34,756 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$34,756 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
<4m
$1,029 ปริมาณ
1%
4-4.5m
$885 ปริมาณ
3%
4.5-5m
$3,296 ปริมาณ
3%
5-5.5m
$2,192 ปริมาณ
5%
5.5-6m
$7,146 ปริมาณ
6%
6m+
$20,209 ปริมาณ
92%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong recent holds and sustained audience interest underpin the 92.7% market-implied probability for a $6 million-plus eighth weekend.** After a record $360 million domestic opening in late July and multiple record-breaking milestones—including surpassing *Star Wars: The Force Awakens* as the highest-grossing film ever in North America—the Tom Holland-led Sony/Marvel title has demonstrated unusually resilient legs for a superhero blockbuster. Its seventh weekend gross of $8.4 million and a modest 25% drop projected for the current frame reflect steady word-of-mouth and limited new competition, keeping it ahead of typical late-run decay patterns. While an unexpected surge from a surprise release or holiday boost could theoretically push results higher or trigger a sharper drop, current tracking and historical precedent for comparable tentpoles make sub-$6 million outcomes appear unlikely to traders.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,756วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.the-numbers.com/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Strong recent holds and sustained audience interest underpin the 92.7% market-implied probability for a $6 million-plus eighth weekend.** After a record $360 million domestic opening in late July and multiple record-breaking milestones—including surpassing *Star Wars: The Force Awakens* as the highest-grossing film ever in North America—the Tom Holland-led Sony/Marvel title has demonstrated unusually resilient legs for a superhero blockbuster. Its seventh weekend gross of $8.4 million and a modest 25% drop projected for the current frame reflect steady word-of-mouth and limited new competition, keeping it ahead of typical late-run decay patterns. While an unexpected surge from a surprise release or holiday boost could theoretically push results higher or trigger a sharper drop, current tracking and historical precedent for comparable tentpoles make sub-$6 million outcomes appear unlikely to traders.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 8th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$34,756วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 5:36 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.the-numbers.com/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Strong recent holds and sustained audience interest underpin the 92.7% market-implied probability for a $6 million-plus eighth weekend.** After a record $360 million domestic opening in late July and multiple record-breaking milestones—including surpassing *Star Wars: The Force Awakens* as the highest-grossing film ever in North America—the Tom Holland-led Sony/Marvel title has demonstrated unusually resilient legs for a superhero blockbuster. Its seventh weekend gross of $8.4 million and a modest 25% drop projected for the current frame reflect steady word-of-mouth and limited new competition, keeping it ahead of typical late-run decay patterns. While an unexpected surge from a surprise release or holiday boost could theoretically push results higher or trigger a sharper drop, current tracking and historical precedent for comparable tentpoles make sub-$6 million outcomes appear unlikely to traders.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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