With the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff 11 days away, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a statistically tied race per the University of Houston Hobby School's May 5 poll showing Attorney General Ken Paxton at 48% and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 45% among likely GOP voters. Recent escalations in attack ads—Cornyn emphasizing Paxton's legal controversies and mismanagement with a $50 million spending advantage, Paxton targeting Cornyn's support for Ukraine aid and 2022 gun safety legislation—have intensified without shifting the balance amid low expected runoff turnout. Absent President Trump's endorsement, rural MAGA voters favor Paxton while suburban establishment backers bolster Cornyn, fostering tight margin probabilities; early voting starting May 18 or a late Trump signal could create separation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPaxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn <3% 19.6%
Paxton 9%+ 16.4%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,254 ปริมาณ
$59,254 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
16%
Paxton 6–9%
23%
Paxton 3–6%
14%
Paxton <3%
11%
Cornyn <3%
20%
Cornyn 3–6%
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
6%
Cornyn 9%+
10%
Paxton 6–9% 23%
Cornyn <3% 19.6%
Paxton 9%+ 16.4%
Paxton 3–6% 14%
$59,254 ปริมาณ
$59,254 ปริมาณ
May 25, 2026
Paxton 9%+
$11,898 ปริมาณ
16%
Paxton 6–9%
$6,727 ปริมาณ
23%
Paxton 3–6%
$5,750 ปริมาณ
14%
Paxton <3%
$7,085 ปริมาณ
11%
Cornyn <3%
$5,174 ปริมาณ
20%
Cornyn 3–6%
$5,243 ปริมาณ
7%
Cornyn 6–9%
$5,306 ปริมาณ
6%
Cornyn 9%+
$12,071 ปริมาณ
10%
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff 11 days away, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a statistically tied race per the University of Houston Hobby School's May 5 poll showing Attorney General Ken Paxton at 48% and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 45% among likely GOP voters. Recent escalations in attack ads—Cornyn emphasizing Paxton's legal controversies and mismanagement with a $50 million spending advantage, Paxton targeting Cornyn's support for Ukraine aid and 2022 gun safety legislation—have intensified without shifting the balance amid low expected runoff turnout. Absent President Trump's endorsement, rural MAGA voters favor Paxton while suburban establishment backers bolster Cornyn, fostering tight margin probabilities; early voting starting May 18 or a late Trump signal could create separation.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,254วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.With the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff 11 days away, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a statistically tied race per the University of Houston Hobby School's May 5 poll showing Attorney General Ken Paxton at 48% and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 45% among likely GOP voters. Recent escalations in attack ads—Cornyn emphasizing Paxton's legal controversies and mismanagement with a $50 million spending advantage, Paxton targeting Cornyn's support for Ukraine aid and 2022 gun safety legislation—have intensified without shifting the balance amid low expected runoff turnout. Absent President Trump's endorsement, rural MAGA voters favor Paxton while suburban establishment backers bolster Cornyn, fostering tight margin probabilities; early voting starting May 18 or a late Trump signal could create separation.
The Texas Senate Republican primary runoff election is scheduled for May 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve according to the candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas, such as official statewide results published by the Texas Secretary of State (https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$59,254วันสิ้นสุด
May 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 4, 2026, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the May 26 Texas U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff 11 days away, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a statistically tied race per the University of Houston Hobby School's May 5 poll showing Attorney General Ken Paxton at 48% and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn at 45% among likely GOP voters. Recent escalations in attack ads—Cornyn emphasizing Paxton's legal controversies and mismanagement with a $50 million spending advantage, Paxton targeting Cornyn's support for Ukraine aid and 2022 gun safety legislation—have intensified without shifting the balance amid low expected runoff turnout. Absent President Trump's endorsement, rural MAGA voters favor Paxton while suburban establishment backers bolster Cornyn, fostering tight margin probabilities; early voting starting May 18 or a late Trump signal could create separation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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