Trader consensus on the third-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects intense competition across benchmarks like arena.ai’s Agent Arena, where Anthropic currently leads with Claude Fable 5.1, OpenAI follows closely with GPT-6 Astra, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sits third on metrics including confirmed success, tool use, and cost efficiency. Recent model releases, long-context agent capabilities, and strong Chinese lab showings on OSWorld and Terminal-Bench have kept odds tightly clustered, with Moonshot at 37.5% and OpenAI at 18% amid broad uncertainty. A new antitrust lawsuit targeting OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI over alleged safety-driven slowdown coordination adds regulatory overhang that could influence release timelines and developer focus. Upcoming catalyst events include further agent SDK updates and benchmark refreshes that may shift lab positioning before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMoonshot 38%
OpenAI 18%
SpaceXAI 13%
Z.ai 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Moonshot
38%
OpenAI
18%
SpaceXAI
13%
Z.ai
12%
Meta
10%
7%
Alibaba
4%
Xiaomi
4%
ByteDance
4%
Mistral
4%
MiniMax
4%
Nvidia
4%
Baidu
4%
Amazon
4%
Meituan
4%
Anthropic
3%
DeepSeek
1%
Tencent
1%
Microsoft
1%
Moonshot 38%
OpenAI 18%
SpaceXAI 13%
Z.ai 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Moonshot
$426 ปริมาณ
38%
OpenAI
$265 ปริมาณ
18%
SpaceXAI
$187 ปริมาณ
13%
Z.ai
$87 ปริมาณ
12%
Meta
$87 ปริมาณ
10%
$87 ปริมาณ
7%
Alibaba
$87 ปริมาณ
4%
Xiaomi
$104 ปริมาณ
4%
ByteDance
$69 ปริมาณ
4%
Mistral
$129 ปริมาณ
4%
MiniMax
$89 ปริมาณ
4%
Nvidia
$87 ปริมาณ
4%
Baidu
$87 ปริมาณ
4%
Amazon
$87 ปริมาณ
4%
Meituan
$69 ปริมาณ
4%
Anthropic
$452 ปริมาณ
3%
DeepSeek
$93 ปริมาณ
1%
Tencent
$107 ปริมาณ
1%
Microsoft
$178 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on the third-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects intense competition across benchmarks like arena.ai’s Agent Arena, where Anthropic currently leads with Claude Fable 5.1, OpenAI follows closely with GPT-6 Astra, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sits third on metrics including confirmed success, tool use, and cost efficiency. Recent model releases, long-context agent capabilities, and strong Chinese lab showings on OSWorld and Terminal-Bench have kept odds tightly clustered, with Moonshot at 37.5% and OpenAI at 18% amid broad uncertainty. A new antitrust lawsuit targeting OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI over alleged safety-driven slowdown coordination adds regulatory overhang that could influence release timelines and developer focus. Upcoming catalyst events include further agent SDK updates and benchmark refreshes that may shift lab positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,773วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus on the third-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects intense competition across benchmarks like arena.ai’s Agent Arena, where Anthropic currently leads with Claude Fable 5.1, OpenAI follows closely with GPT-6 Astra, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sits third on metrics including confirmed success, tool use, and cost efficiency. Recent model releases, long-context agent capabilities, and strong Chinese lab showings on OSWorld and Terminal-Bench have kept odds tightly clustered, with Moonshot at 37.5% and OpenAI at 18% amid broad uncertainty. A new antitrust lawsuit targeting OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI over alleged safety-driven slowdown coordination adds regulatory overhang that could influence release timelines and developer focus. Upcoming catalyst events include further agent SDK updates and benchmark refreshes that may shift lab positioning before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Agent Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,773วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:04 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the third-best AI agent lab by end of November reflects intense competition across benchmarks like arena.ai’s Agent Arena, where Anthropic currently leads with Claude Fable 5.1, OpenAI follows closely with GPT-6 Astra, and Moonshot’s Kimi K3 sits third on metrics including confirmed success, tool use, and cost efficiency. Recent model releases, long-context agent capabilities, and strong Chinese lab showings on OSWorld and Terminal-Bench have kept odds tightly clustered, with Moonshot at 37.5% and OpenAI at 18% amid broad uncertainty. A new antitrust lawsuit targeting OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and xAI over alleged safety-driven slowdown coordination adds regulatory overhang that could influence release timelines and developer focus. Upcoming catalyst events include further agent SDK updates and benchmark refreshes that may shift lab positioning before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย