Recent model releases and the ongoing safety-pacing debate have kept multiple AI labs in tight contention for third place by November's end. Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads several benchmarks while preparing a November IPO, OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra drives coding and agent performance, and Google advances Gemini 3.8 variants with real-time capabilities. Chinese labs including Moonshot's Kimi K3 and Alibaba's Qwen series close capability gaps through efficient, lower-cost models, while Meta emphasizes open-weight releases. A proposed industry slowdown on frontier progress has triggered antitrust scrutiny, adding uncertainty to relative standings amid converging U.S.-China performance and shifting focus toward reliability and enterprise adoption.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMeta 38%
Google 23%
Alibaba 13%
ByteDance 9.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
38%
23%
Alibaba
13%
ByteDance
8%
Z.ai
7%
Moonshot
13%
Amazon
6%
OpenAI
5%
Anthropic
3%
Baidu
3%
Microsoft
3%
Xiaomi
3%
Nvidia
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
DeepSeek
1%
Thinky
1%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Meituan
1%
Tencent
1%
StepFun
1%
Meta 38%
Google 23%
Alibaba 13%
ByteDance 9.0%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Meta
$1,416 ปริมาณ
38%
$699 ปริมาณ
23%
Alibaba
$212 ปริมาณ
13%
ByteDance
$75 ปริมาณ
8%
Z.ai
$67 ปริมาณ
7%
Moonshot
$81 ปริมาณ
13%
Amazon
$67 ปริมาณ
6%
OpenAI
$67 ปริมาณ
5%
Anthropic
$127 ปริมาณ
3%
Baidu
$128 ปริมาณ
3%
Microsoft
$87 ปริมาณ
3%
Xiaomi
$88 ปริมาณ
3%
Nvidia
$67 ปริมาณ
3%
SpaceXAI
$67 ปริมาณ
2%
DeepSeek
$61 ปริมาณ
1%
Thinky
$71 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$71 ปริมาณ
1%
Mistral
$61 ปริมาณ
1%
Meituan
$61 ปริมาณ
1%
Tencent
$71 ปริมาณ
1%
StepFun
$61 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and the ongoing safety-pacing debate have kept multiple AI labs in tight contention for third place by November's end. Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads several benchmarks while preparing a November IPO, OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra drives coding and agent performance, and Google advances Gemini 3.8 variants with real-time capabilities. Chinese labs including Moonshot's Kimi K3 and Alibaba's Qwen series close capability gaps through efficient, lower-cost models, while Meta emphasizes open-weight releases. A proposed industry slowdown on frontier progress has triggered antitrust scrutiny, adding uncertainty to relative standings amid converging U.S.-China performance and shifting focus toward reliability and enterprise adoption.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,700วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent model releases and the ongoing safety-pacing debate have kept multiple AI labs in tight contention for third place by November's end. Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads several benchmarks while preparing a November IPO, OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra drives coding and agent performance, and Google advances Gemini 3.8 variants with real-time capabilities. Chinese labs including Moonshot's Kimi K3 and Alibaba's Qwen series close capability gaps through efficient, lower-cost models, while Meta emphasizes open-weight releases. A proposed industry slowdown on frontier progress has triggered antitrust scrutiny, adding uncertainty to relative standings amid converging U.S.-China performance and shifting focus toward reliability and enterprise adoption.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,700วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:10 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases and the ongoing safety-pacing debate have kept multiple AI labs in tight contention for third place by November's end. Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 leads several benchmarks while preparing a November IPO, OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra drives coding and agent performance, and Google advances Gemini 3.8 variants with real-time capabilities. Chinese labs including Moonshot's Kimi K3 and Alibaba's Qwen series close capability gaps through efficient, lower-cost models, while Meta emphasizes open-weight releases. A proposed industry slowdown on frontier progress has triggered antitrust scrutiny, adding uncertainty to relative standings amid converging U.S.-China performance and shifting focus toward reliability and enterprise adoption.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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