Recent redistricting consolidated Houston-area districts, placing sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green in a May 26 runoff for the TX-18 nomination after neither secured a majority in the March 3 primary. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released this week shows Menefee leading Green 50% to 43% among likely voters, with strong support among younger, white, and Latino voters. Traders have priced Menefee at 89% implied probability, reflecting his edge in recent surveys, campaign fundraising, and perceived generational contrast against the 78-year-old Green’s long tenure. Minor candidates Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards register near zero in both polling and market pricing, underscoring the two-way contest dynamic ahead of early voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วChristian Menefee 89.0%
Al Green 10.4%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 ปริมาณ
$27,959 ปริมาณ
Christian Menefee
89%
Al Green
10%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
Christian Menefee 89.0%
Al Green 10.4%
Gretchen Brown <1%
Amanda Edwards <1%
$27,959 ปริมาณ
$27,959 ปริมาณ
Christian Menefee
89%
Al Green
10%
Gretchen Brown
<1%
Amanda Edwards
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 4, 2026, 5:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent redistricting consolidated Houston-area districts, placing sitting Democratic incumbents Christian Menefee and Al Green in a May 26 runoff for the TX-18 nomination after neither secured a majority in the March 3 primary. A University of Houston Hobby School poll released this week shows Menefee leading Green 50% to 43% among likely voters, with strong support among younger, white, and Latino voters. Traders have priced Menefee at 89% implied probability, reflecting his edge in recent surveys, campaign fundraising, and perceived generational contrast against the 78-year-old Green’s long tenure. Minor candidates Gretchen Brown and Amanda Edwards register near zero in both polling and market pricing, underscoring the two-way contest dynamic ahead of early voting.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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