Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the best AI agent by end of November due to its rapid progress in agentic capabilities, including Claude models leading 26% of internal R&D work as of August and recent releases like Claude Commerce Agents and the Model Hardware Standard preview. These developments highlight strong performance on long-horizon tasks, tool use, and reliability benchmarks that outpace competitors in enterprise and autonomous workflows. OpenAI follows at lower implied odds thanks to its broader ecosystem but trails on agent-specific metrics like sustained coherence and error handling, while Google and others lag further behind on recent agent-focused announcements. Market-implied probabilities reflect this positioning amid ongoing model updates and safety evaluations through late 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 73%
OpenAI 16%
Google 7.1%
Alibaba 4.5%

Anthropic
73%

OpenAI
16%

7%

Alibaba
5%

Z.ai
4%

Meta
2%

SpaceXAI
1%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Moonshot
1%

Xiaomi
1%

ByteDance
1%

Baidu
1%

Amazon
1%

Mistral
1%

Meituan
1%

Microsoft
1%

Tencent
1%
Anthropic 73%
OpenAI 16%
Google 7.1%
Alibaba 4.5%

Anthropic
73%

OpenAI
16%

7%

Alibaba
5%

Z.ai
4%

Meta
2%

SpaceXAI
1%

DeepSeek
1%

MiniMax
1%

Nvidia
1%

Moonshot
1%

Xiaomi
1%

ByteDance
1%

Baidu
1%

Amazon
1%

Mistral
1%

Meituan
1%

Microsoft
1%

Tencent
1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment for the best AI agent by end of November due to its rapid progress in agentic capabilities, including Claude models leading 26% of internal R&D work as of August and recent releases like Claude Commerce Agents and the Model Hardware Standard preview. These developments highlight strong performance on long-horizon tasks, tool use, and reliability benchmarks that outpace competitors in enterprise and autonomous workflows. OpenAI follows at lower implied odds thanks to its broader ecosystem but trails on agent-specific metrics like sustained coherence and error handling, while Google and others lag further behind on recent agent-focused announcements. Market-implied probabilities reflect this positioning amid ongoing model updates and safety evaluations through late 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย