Traders heavily favor Anthropic at 88.5% implied probability because its recent Claude large language model updates have delivered leading results on independent capability benchmarks, outpacing rivals in reasoning and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from consistent official releases and demonstrated technical edges that have shifted market sentiment over the past month. Google follows at 9.5% on the strength of its Gemini refinements, while OpenAI sits at just 0.5% amid slower visible progress. With resolution only two weeks away, any surprise benchmark disclosure or competitive model drop could still alter outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects strong confidence in Anthropic’s current lead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 89%
Google 10%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,862,934 ปริมาณ
$8,862,934 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
89%
10%
OpenAI
1%
ByteDance
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Meta
<1%
xAI
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 89%
Google 10%
OpenAI <1%
ByteDance <1%
$8,862,934 ปริมาณ
$8,862,934 ปริมาณ
May 31, 2026
Anthropic
$653,998 ปริมาณ
89%
$605,722 ปริมาณ
10%
OpenAI
$751,159 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$553,425 ปริมาณ
<1%
Z.ai
$523,051 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meta
$528,618 ปริมาณ
<1%
xAI
$666,375 ปริมาณ
<1%
Alibaba
$518,378 ปริมาณ
<1%
Moonshot
$557,810 ปริมาณ
<1%
DeepSeek
$475,923 ปริมาณ
<1%
Baidu
$470,637 ปริมาณ
<1%
Amazon
$406,756 ปริมาณ
<1%
Mistral
$1,422,640 ปริมาณ
<1%
Meituan
$311,909 ปริมาณ
<1%
Microsoft
$416,851 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders heavily favor Anthropic at 88.5% implied probability because its recent Claude large language model updates have delivered leading results on independent capability benchmarks, outpacing rivals in reasoning and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from consistent official releases and demonstrated technical edges that have shifted market sentiment over the past month. Google follows at 9.5% on the strength of its Gemini refinements, while OpenAI sits at just 0.5% amid slower visible progress. With resolution only two weeks away, any surprise benchmark disclosure or competitive model drop could still alter outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects strong confidence in Anthropic’s current lead.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,862,934วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Traders heavily favor Anthropic at 88.5% implied probability because its recent Claude large language model updates have delivered leading results on independent capability benchmarks, outpacing rivals in reasoning and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from consistent official releases and demonstrated technical edges that have shifted market sentiment over the past month. Google follows at 9.5% on the strength of its Gemini refinements, while OpenAI sits at just 0.5% amid slower visible progress. With resolution only two weeks away, any surprise benchmark disclosure or competitive model drop could still alter outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects strong confidence in Anthropic’s current lead.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,862,934วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 14, 2026, 5:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor Anthropic at 88.5% implied probability because its recent Claude large language model updates have delivered leading results on independent capability benchmarks, outpacing rivals in reasoning and safety evaluations. This positioning stems from consistent official releases and demonstrated technical edges that have shifted market sentiment over the past month. Google follows at 9.5% on the strength of its Gemini refinements, while OpenAI sits at just 0.5% amid slower visible progress. With resolution only two weeks away, any surprise benchmark disclosure or competitive model drop could still alter outcomes, though current trader consensus reflects strong confidence in Anthropic’s current lead.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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