Anthropic's Claude series, particularly Opus 5 and the Mythos Preview, drives the 68.5% market-implied odds through verified leadership on math benchmarks including perfect scores on 2026 IMO problems, top composite reasoning metrics on AIME and MATH evaluations, and consistent outperformance versus rivals as of mid-August 2026. Traders view Anthropic's edge in complex, tool-free mathematical reasoning and multi-step problem solving as durable through October, supported by rapid iteration on frontier large language models. OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 trail at 15.5% and 6.5% respectively due to narrower gaps on recent leaderboards, while lower odds for Alibaba, Meta, and others reflect limited demonstrated parity in uncontaminated math arenas. Key catalysts ahead include any late-summer model updates or new competition results that could shift the Text Arena Math standings before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 69%
OpenAI 16%
Google 6.5%
Alibaba 3.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
69%
OpenAI
16%
6%
Alibaba
3%
Meta
2%
StepFun
2%
Moonshot
2%
Tencent
2%
Amazon
2%
SpaceXAI
2%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
1%
Meituan
1%
Baidu
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
ByteDance
1%
Mistral
1%
Microsoft
1%
Anthropic 69%
OpenAI 16%
Google 6.5%
Alibaba 3.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$778 ปริมาณ
69%
OpenAI
$230 ปริมาณ
16%
$170 ปริมาณ
6%
Alibaba
$93 ปริมาณ
3%
Meta
$103 ปริมาณ
2%
StepFun
$142 ปริมาณ
2%
Moonshot
$93 ปริมาณ
2%
Tencent
$181 ปริมาณ
2%
Amazon
$177 ปริมาณ
2%
SpaceXAI
$95 ปริมาณ
2%
Xiaomi
$218 ปริมาณ
1%
DeepSeek
$193 ปริมาณ
1%
Z.ai
$124 ปริมาณ
1%
Meituan
$142 ปริมาณ
1%
Baidu
$124 ปริมาณ
1%
Nvidia
$145 ปริมาณ
1%
MiniMax
$162 ปริมาณ
1%
ByteDance
$149 ปริมาณ
1%
Mistral
$184 ปริมาณ
1%
Microsoft
$124 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude series, particularly Opus 5 and the Mythos Preview, drives the 68.5% market-implied odds through verified leadership on math benchmarks including perfect scores on 2026 IMO problems, top composite reasoning metrics on AIME and MATH evaluations, and consistent outperformance versus rivals as of mid-August 2026. Traders view Anthropic's edge in complex, tool-free mathematical reasoning and multi-step problem solving as durable through October, supported by rapid iteration on frontier large language models. OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 trail at 15.5% and 6.5% respectively due to narrower gaps on recent leaderboards, while lower odds for Alibaba, Meta, and others reflect limited demonstrated parity in uncontaminated math arenas. Key catalysts ahead include any late-summer model updates or new competition results that could shift the Text Arena Math standings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,628วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude series, particularly Opus 5 and the Mythos Preview, drives the 68.5% market-implied odds through verified leadership on math benchmarks including perfect scores on 2026 IMO problems, top composite reasoning metrics on AIME and MATH evaluations, and consistent outperformance versus rivals as of mid-August 2026. Traders view Anthropic's edge in complex, tool-free mathematical reasoning and multi-step problem solving as durable through October, supported by rapid iteration on frontier large language models. OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 trail at 15.5% and 6.5% respectively due to narrower gaps on recent leaderboards, while lower odds for Alibaba, Meta, and others reflect limited demonstrated parity in uncontaminated math arenas. Key catalysts ahead include any late-summer model updates or new competition results that could shift the Text Arena Math standings before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,628วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 12, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude series, particularly Opus 5 and the Mythos Preview, drives the 68.5% market-implied odds through verified leadership on math benchmarks including perfect scores on 2026 IMO problems, top composite reasoning metrics on AIME and MATH evaluations, and consistent outperformance versus rivals as of mid-August 2026. Traders view Anthropic's edge in complex, tool-free mathematical reasoning and multi-step problem solving as durable through October, supported by rapid iteration on frontier large language models. OpenAI's GPT-5 variants and Google's Gemini 3.1 trail at 15.5% and 6.5% respectively due to narrower gaps on recent leaderboards, while lower odds for Alibaba, Meta, and others reflect limited demonstrated parity in uncontaminated math arenas. Key catalysts ahead include any late-summer model updates or new competition results that could shift the Text Arena Math standings before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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