Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken 19-year cadence of annual September launches—iPhone 17 debuted last fall—bolstered by recent supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max production ramping for a fall 2026 debut with A20 2nm chips, variable aperture cameras, and enhanced Apple Intelligence features. Analyst reports from early May, including MacRumors and CNET, detail a potential split lineup with base iPhone 18 possibly shifting to spring 2027 to prioritize Pro models and a foldable, yet the series launch remains on track. Realistic challenges include TSMC yield issues on 2nm nodes, U.S.-China trade escalations disrupting components, or an abrupt pivot to robotics/AI hardware, though these face long odds given Apple's $400B+ cash reserves and historical resilience. Watch WWDC in June for software teases and September for confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$96,027 ปริมาณ
$96,027 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$96,027 ปริมาณ
$96,027 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken 19-year cadence of annual September launches—iPhone 17 debuted last fall—bolstered by recent supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max production ramping for a fall 2026 debut with A20 2nm chips, variable aperture cameras, and enhanced Apple Intelligence features. Analyst reports from early May, including MacRumors and CNET, detail a potential split lineup with base iPhone 18 possibly shifting to spring 2027 to prioritize Pro models and a foldable, yet the series launch remains on track. Realistic challenges include TSMC yield issues on 2nm nodes, U.S.-China trade escalations disrupting components, or an abrupt pivot to robotics/AI hardware, though these face long odds given Apple's $400B+ cash reserves and historical resilience. Watch WWDC in June for software teases and September for confirmation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,027วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken 19-year cadence of annual September launches—iPhone 17 debuted last fall—bolstered by recent supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max production ramping for a fall 2026 debut with A20 2nm chips, variable aperture cameras, and enhanced Apple Intelligence features. Analyst reports from early May, including MacRumors and CNET, detail a potential split lineup with base iPhone 18 possibly shifting to spring 2027 to prioritize Pro models and a foldable, yet the series launch remains on track. Realistic challenges include TSMC yield issues on 2nm nodes, U.S.-China trade escalations disrupting components, or an abrupt pivot to robotics/AI hardware, though these face long odds given Apple's $400B+ cash reserves and historical resilience. Watch WWDC in June for software teases and September for confirmation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,027วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 95% implied probability for Apple releasing the iPhone 18 in 2026, anchored by the company's unbroken 19-year cadence of annual September launches—iPhone 17 debuted last fall—bolstered by recent supply chain leaks confirming iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max production ramping for a fall 2026 debut with A20 2nm chips, variable aperture cameras, and enhanced Apple Intelligence features. Analyst reports from early May, including MacRumors and CNET, detail a potential split lineup with base iPhone 18 possibly shifting to spring 2027 to prioritize Pro models and a foldable, yet the series launch remains on track. Realistic challenges include TSMC yield issues on 2nm nodes, U.S.-China trade escalations disrupting components, or an abrupt pivot to robotics/AI hardware, though these face long odds given Apple's $400B+ cash reserves and historical resilience. Watch WWDC in June for software teases and September for confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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