Apple's established annual release cadence for flagship smartphones underpins the near-certain market-implied odds, reinforced by recent supply-chain confirmations that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models will launch alongside the first foldable iPhone in September 2026. Multiple suppliers, including Pegatron, have indirectly validated the split-launch strategy, shifting only base and entry-level variants to spring 2027 while prioritizing premium hardware for the fall window. This aligns with Apple's pattern of consistent September events absent major external shocks. Potential disruptions such as severe chip shortages, regulatory hurdles, or unexpected production delays remain low-probability tail risks given current verified timelines and component allocation reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว99% โอกาส
$173,240 ปริมาณ
$173,240 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
99% โอกาส
$173,240 ปริมาณ
$173,240 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual release cadence for flagship smartphones underpins the near-certain market-implied odds, reinforced by recent supply-chain confirmations that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models will launch alongside the first foldable iPhone in September 2026. Multiple suppliers, including Pegatron, have indirectly validated the split-launch strategy, shifting only base and entry-level variants to spring 2027 while prioritizing premium hardware for the fall window. This aligns with Apple's pattern of consistent September events absent major external shocks. Potential disruptions such as severe chip shortages, regulatory hurdles, or unexpected production delays remain low-probability tail risks given current verified timelines and component allocation reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$173,240วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple's established annual release cadence for flagship smartphones underpins the near-certain market-implied odds, reinforced by recent supply-chain confirmations that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models will launch alongside the first foldable iPhone in September 2026. Multiple suppliers, including Pegatron, have indirectly validated the split-launch strategy, shifting only base and entry-level variants to spring 2027 while prioritizing premium hardware for the fall window. This aligns with Apple's pattern of consistent September events absent major external shocks. Potential disruptions such as severe chip shortages, regulatory hurdles, or unexpected production delays remain low-probability tail risks given current verified timelines and component allocation reports.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$173,240วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Apple's established annual release cadence for flagship smartphones underpins the near-certain market-implied odds, reinforced by recent supply-chain confirmations that iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models will launch alongside the first foldable iPhone in September 2026. Multiple suppliers, including Pegatron, have indirectly validated the split-launch strategy, shifting only base and entry-level variants to spring 2027 while prioritizing premium hardware for the fall window. This aligns with Apple's pattern of consistent September events absent major external shocks. Potential disruptions such as severe chip shortages, regulatory hurdles, or unexpected production delays remain low-probability tail risks given current verified timelines and component allocation reports.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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