Trader consensus places the probability of Democrats winning all four core Senate races in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine near 50 percent due to narrow polling margins across these battlegrounds. An open Michigan seat, defensive demands for Jon Ossoff in Georgia, and Susan Collins’s Maine contest create offsetting risks, while former Governor Roy Cooper’s strong positioning has prompted rating upgrades for North Carolina. Recent primaries, candidate fundraising, and state-specific turnout patterns sustain the competitive balance. Late shifts in national conditions, additional polling movement, or candidate developments through the fall could tip the simultaneous outcomes in either direction before November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
51% โอกาส
$20,072 ปริมาณ
$20,072 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
51% โอกาส
$20,072 ปริมาณ
$20,072 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus places the probability of Democrats winning all four core Senate races in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine near 50 percent due to narrow polling margins across these battlegrounds. An open Michigan seat, defensive demands for Jon Ossoff in Georgia, and Susan Collins’s Maine contest create offsetting risks, while former Governor Roy Cooper’s strong positioning has prompted rating upgrades for North Carolina. Recent primaries, candidate fundraising, and state-specific turnout patterns sustain the competitive balance. Late shifts in national conditions, additional polling movement, or candidate developments through the fall could tip the simultaneous outcomes in either direction before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,072วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.Trader consensus places the probability of Democrats winning all four core Senate races in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine near 50 percent due to narrow polling margins across these battlegrounds. An open Michigan seat, defensive demands for Jon Ossoff in Georgia, and Susan Collins’s Maine contest create offsetting risks, while former Governor Roy Cooper’s strong positioning has prompted rating upgrades for North Carolina. Recent primaries, candidate fundraising, and state-specific turnout patterns sustain the competitive balance. Late shifts in national conditions, additional polling movement, or candidate developments through the fall could tip the simultaneous outcomes in either direction before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a candidate representing the Democratic Party wins the 2026 midterm U.S. Senate elections in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine (inclusive of any run-offs).
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
A candidate will be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) will not count. Candidates who run as independents will not be considered a Democrat, regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call all relevant races for the same candidate. If all three sources don’t call a relevant race for the same candidate, this market will use the official certification of the election results for resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,072วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 13, 2026, 6:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus places the probability of Democrats winning all four core Senate races in Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Maine near 50 percent due to narrow polling margins across these battlegrounds. An open Michigan seat, defensive demands for Jon Ossoff in Georgia, and Susan Collins’s Maine contest create offsetting risks, while former Governor Roy Cooper’s strong positioning has prompted rating upgrades for North Carolina. Recent primaries, candidate fundraising, and state-specific turnout patterns sustain the competitive balance. Late shifts in national conditions, additional polling movement, or candidate developments through the fall could tip the simultaneous outcomes in either direction before November 3, 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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