Ongoing military confrontation between Israel, the United States, and Iran, including direct strikes on Iranian leadership and nuclear sites in February 2026 followed by retaliatory exchanges, sustains bilateral hostility with no normalization signals from either side. Diplomatic ties have remained severed since 1979 amid mutual non-recognition, proxy conflicts, and security priorities that have intensified rather than eased through the year. Ceasefire talks and regional agreements have not produced bilateral diplomatic steps. Traders assign near-certainty to no embassy reopening in 2026 because these structural barriers remain intact. Low-probability shifts could still arise from verifiable regime transitions in Tehran, comprehensive peace frameworks, or third-party mediation yielding concrete diplomatic progress before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
1% โอกาส
$194,155 ปริมาณ
$194,155 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
1% โอกาส
$194,155 ปริมาณ
$194,155 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military confrontation between Israel, the United States, and Iran, including direct strikes on Iranian leadership and nuclear sites in February 2026 followed by retaliatory exchanges, sustains bilateral hostility with no normalization signals from either side. Diplomatic ties have remained severed since 1979 amid mutual non-recognition, proxy conflicts, and security priorities that have intensified rather than eased through the year. Ceasefire talks and regional agreements have not produced bilateral diplomatic steps. Traders assign near-certainty to no embassy reopening in 2026 because these structural barriers remain intact. Low-probability shifts could still arise from verifiable regime transitions in Tehran, comprehensive peace frameworks, or third-party mediation yielding concrete diplomatic progress before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$194,155วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Ongoing military confrontation between Israel, the United States, and Iran, including direct strikes on Iranian leadership and nuclear sites in February 2026 followed by retaliatory exchanges, sustains bilateral hostility with no normalization signals from either side. Diplomatic ties have remained severed since 1979 amid mutual non-recognition, proxy conflicts, and security priorities that have intensified rather than eased through the year. Ceasefire talks and regional agreements have not produced bilateral diplomatic steps. Traders assign near-certainty to no embassy reopening in 2026 because these structural barriers remain intact. Low-probability shifts could still arise from verifiable regime transitions in Tehran, comprehensive peace frameworks, or third-party mediation yielding concrete diplomatic progress before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli government announces the reopening/opening of any embassy or consulate in Iran, or if such a reopening/opening is otherwise confirmed, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy or consulate opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Any opening of an Israeli embassy or consulate in Iran will qualify regardless of its exact location.
Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy or consulate, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$194,155วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 6, 2026, 9:46 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing military confrontation between Israel, the United States, and Iran, including direct strikes on Iranian leadership and nuclear sites in February 2026 followed by retaliatory exchanges, sustains bilateral hostility with no normalization signals from either side. Diplomatic ties have remained severed since 1979 amid mutual non-recognition, proxy conflicts, and security priorities that have intensified rather than eased through the year. Ceasefire talks and regional agreements have not produced bilateral diplomatic steps. Traders assign near-certainty to no embassy reopening in 2026 because these structural barriers remain intact. Low-probability shifts could still arise from verifiable regime transitions in Tehran, comprehensive peace frameworks, or third-party mediation yielding concrete diplomatic progress before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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