Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has repeatedly described any direct contact with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as premature, insisting first on a formal security agreement and an end to Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon. US officials continue pressing for a Trump-hosted meeting to accelerate implementation of the April 2026 ceasefire, Hezbollah disarmament, and restoration of Lebanese state authority, with envoys from both sides preparing a third round of Washington talks. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has echoed that high-level engagement would require extensive preparation and could inflame domestic politics. These constraints, alongside ongoing violations of the truce, keep implied probabilities for a call or meeting by the resolution date relatively low, reflecting trader assessment of Lebanese institutional resistance versus US diplomatic leverage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$35,253 ปริมาณ
June 30
31%
$35,253 ปริมาณ
June 30
31%
A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 5:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A talk is defined as any interaction between Joseph Aoun and Benjamin Netanyahu, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has repeatedly described any direct contact with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as premature, insisting first on a formal security agreement and an end to Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon. US officials continue pressing for a Trump-hosted meeting to accelerate implementation of the April 2026 ceasefire, Hezbollah disarmament, and restoration of Lebanese state authority, with envoys from both sides preparing a third round of Washington talks. Lebanese Prime Minister Nawaf Salam has echoed that high-level engagement would require extensive preparation and could inflame domestic politics. These constraints, alongside ongoing violations of the truce, keep implied probabilities for a call or meeting by the resolution date relatively low, reflecting trader assessment of Lebanese institutional resistance versus US diplomatic leverage.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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