xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$24,212 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2026
40%+
94%
50%+
<1%
$24,212 ปริมาณ
40%+
$3,642 ปริมาณ
94%
50%+
$423 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,212วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,212วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...xAI's Grok models currently sit at 12-14% accuracy on Epoch AI's FrontierMath Tiers 1-3, a set of 300 unpublished, research-level math problems designed to resist data contamination and require hours or days of expert effort per question. This places them well behind leaders like OpenAI's o-series variants and GPT-5 iterations, which have posted scores in the mid-20s to low-50s in recent independent evaluations. With only days remaining until the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline and no confirmed Grok updates or capability jumps announced in the past month, trader sentiment reflects the narrow window for any rapid improvement. Competitive dynamics in advanced reasoning benchmarks continue to favor labs with stronger demonstrated tool use and scaling on math-specific tasks, though xAI's focus on unique problem-solving strengths has occasionally yielded novel solves on FrontierMath.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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